Fantasy FootballOutsiders

Usage comparison · Wide receivers

Ja'Marr Chase vs Josh Downs

Josh Downs gets more of his team's passes (26% vs 25%) and more of the deep throws (44% of its air yards vs 33%). In total, though, Ja'Marr Chase has more targets (25 vs 24). Near the end zone, they have had the same number of chances (4 plays within 20 yards), but Ja'Marr Chase gets a bigger share of his team's chances there (18% vs 15%). Ja'Marr Chase is scoring more fantasy points a game (18.2 vs 10.9, PPR), and his chances usually score more too: 14.9 vs 14.4 expected points a game Est..

2026 season · Weeks 1–3 · Updated Sep 29, 2026

WRCIN

Ja'Marr Chase
Fantasy points per game (PPR)
18.2
Expected points per gameEst.
14.9

3 games with a target, carry or dropback

WRIND

Josh Downs
Fantasy points per game (PPR)
10.9
Expected points per gameEst.
14.4

3 games with a target, carry or dropback

Side by side

Season totals through week 3. Shares are of each player's team totals in the games he played. For counts and shares, the bigger number is in bold and the bars grow from the centre line.
Ja'Marr Chase and Josh Downs, season usage side by side
StatJa'Marr ChaseJosh Downs
Games33
Passes thrown to him
Targets2524
Target share25%26%
Air-yards share33%44%
Catches1814
Receiving yards185186
Near the end zone
Red-zone chances44
Red-zone share18%15%
End-zone targets30
Touchdowns
Touchdowns30
Expected touchdownsEst.1.51.4
Fantasy points
Fantasy points per game (PPR)18.210.9
Fantasy points (PPR)54.532.6
Expected points per gameEst.14.914.4
Points vs expectedEst.+3.3−3.6

Week by week

Each bar is one game. Pick a stat to compare.

Target share by week

Out of all the passes his team threw in his games, the part thrown to him.

  • Ja'Marr Chase
  • Josh Downs
Target share by week
WeekJa'Marr ChaseJosh Downs
112%against TB14%against BAL
229%against HOU30%against KC
332%against PIT31%against HOU

Next to each number: that week's opponent.

Where they rank

Each player's place among players at his position who meet the leaderboard's minimum. Open a leaderboard for the full list.
Leaderboard ranks for Ja'Marr Chase and Josh Downs
LeaderboardJa'Marr ChaseJosh Downs
Target share leaders#20of 74 wide receivers#13of 74 wide receivers
Air-yards share leaders#21of 74 wide receivers#10of 74 wide receivers
Red-zone share leaders#7of 35 wide receivers#14of 35 wide receivers
Red-zone opportunity leaders#13of 166 wide receivers#14of 166 wide receivers
End-zone target leaders#12of 166 wide receivers#123of 166 wide receivers
Expected fantasy points leadersEst.#15of 166 wide receivers#17of 166 wide receivers

Talking points

Fact-checked notes from the weekly usage report, with the numbers behind them.

Ja'Marr Chase

Role up

Ja'Marr Chase's target share rose to 32% in week 3 (12 targets), from 20% in weeks 1-2.

Target share, week 3
32%
Targets, week 3
12
Target share, weeks 1–2
20%
Targets, weeks 1–2
13

Weeks 1–3 · 3 games

  • Share of team targets/carries in games he played. Snap counts aren't in FFO's licensed data, so a low earlier share can mean limited playing time.

Touchdowns above usage

Ja'Marr Chase has scored 3 touchdowns on opportunities that usually produce 1.5, per FFO's expected-points model.

Touchdowns
3
Expected touchdownsEst.
1.5
Expected PPR per gameEst.
14.9
PPR vs expected, per gameEst.
+3.3

Weeks 1–3 · 3 games

  • Model estimate, not a forecast: v1 predicts about as well as raw points.

Josh Downs

Volume, not production

Josh Downs has 44% of IND's air yards but is scoring 3.6 PPR points a game below what that usage usually produces.

Air-yards share
44%
Targets
24
PPR vs expected, per gameEst.
−3.6

Weeks 1–3 · 3 games

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Ja'Marr Chase

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Josh Downs

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