2026 NFL usage report

Week 3 usage report

Covers weeks 1–3. 76 talking points, each built from NFL play-by-play with the numbers behind it. Values marked Est. are FFO model estimates.

2026 season · Weeks 1–3 · Updated Sep 29, 2026

The shortlist

The top-ranked talking points, at most two of each kind.

Volume, not production

Michael WilsonWRARI

Michael Wilson has 41% of ARI's air yards but is scoring 4.9 PPR points a game below what that usage usually produces.

Air-yards share: 41%
Targets: 31
PPR vs expected, per gameEst.: −4.9

Weeks 1–3 · 3 games

Role up

Jeremiyah LoveRBARI

Jeremiyah Love's share of ARI carries rose to 78% in week 3 (21 carries), from 39% in weeks 1-2.

Carry share, week 3: 78%
Carries, week 3: 21
Carry share, weeks 1–2: 39%

Weeks 1–3 · 3 games

Share of team targets/carries in games he played. Snap counts aren't in FFO's licensed data, so a low earlier share can mean limited playing time.

Role up

Christian McCaffreyRBSF

Christian McCaffrey's share of SF carries rose to 65% in week 3 (15 carries), from 35% in weeks 1-2.

Carry share, week 3: 65%
Carries, week 3: 15
Carry share, weeks 1–2: 35%

Weeks 1–3 · 3 games

Share of team targets/carries in games he played. Snap counts aren't in FFO's licensed data, so a low earlier share can mean limited playing time.

Red-zone role

Jahmyr GibbsRBDET

Jahmyr Gibbs has 23 of DET's 42 red-zone opportunities (55%), including 7 carries inside the 5.

Red-zone opportunities: 23
Team red-zone opportunities: 42
Red-zone share: 55%
Carries inside the 5: 7

Weeks 1–3 · 3 games

Volume, not production

DK MetcalfWRPIT

DK Metcalf has 33% of PIT's air yards but is scoring 5.2 PPR points a game below what that usage usually produces.

Air-yards share: 33%
Targets: 24
PPR vs expected, per gameEst.: −5.2

Weeks 1–3 · 3 games

Touchdowns above usage

Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWRSEA

Jaxon Smith-Njigba has scored 6 touchdowns on opportunities that usually produce 2.9, per FFO's expected-points model.

Touchdowns: 6
Expected touchdownsEst.: 2.9
Expected PPR per gameEst.: 22.5
PPR vs expected, per gameEst.: +12.1

Weeks 1–3 · 3 games

Model estimate, not a forecast: v1 predicts about as well as raw points.

Red-zone role

Derrick HenryRBBAL

Derrick Henry has 20 of BAL's 35 red-zone opportunities (57%), including 9 carries inside the 5.

Red-zone opportunities: 20
Team red-zone opportunities: 35
Red-zone share: 57%
Carries inside the 5: 9

Weeks 1–3 · 3 games

Touchdowns above usage

Amon-Ra St. BrownWRDET

Amon-Ra St. Brown has scored 5 touchdowns on opportunities that usually produce 2.7, per FFO's expected-points model.

Touchdowns: 5
Expected touchdownsEst.: 2.7
Expected PPR per gameEst.: 21.8
PPR vs expected, per gameEst.: +3.4

Weeks 1–3 · 3 games

Model estimate, not a forecast: v1 predicts about as well as raw points.

Role down

Trey McBrideTEARI

Trey McBride's target share fell to 22% in week 3 (11 targets), from 37% in weeks 1-2.

Target share, week 3: 22%
Targets, week 3: 11
Target share, weeks 1–2: 37%
Targets, weeks 1–2: 23

Weeks 1–3 · 3 games

Share of team targets/carries in games he played. Snap counts aren't in FFO's licensed data, so a low earlier share can mean limited playing time.

Touchdowns below usage

Tetairoa McMillanWRCAR

Tetairoa McMillan has scored 0 touchdowns on opportunities that usually produce 2.6, per FFO's expected-points model.

Touchdowns: 0
Expected touchdownsEst.: 2.6
Expected PPR per gameEst.: 15.8
PPR vs expected, per gameEst.: −5.3

Weeks 1–3 · 3 games

Model estimate, not a forecast: v1 predicts about as well as raw points.

QB efficiency

Brock PurdyQBSF

Brock Purdy is at +0.62 EPA per dropback over 83 dropbacks, 1st of 30 QBs with 50+.

EPA rank: 1 of 30 qualified QBs
EPA per dropback: +0.62
Dropbacks: 83

Weeks 1–3 · 3 games

Rookie role

Carnell TateWRTEN

Rookie Carnell Tate has a 25% target share through 3 games.

Target share: 25%
Targets: 20

Weeks 1–3 · 3 games

Volume, not production

Michael WilsonWRARI

Michael Wilson has 41% of ARI's air yards but is scoring 4.9 PPR points a game below what that usage usually produces.

Air-yards share: 41%
Targets: 31
PPR vs expected, per gameEst.: −4.9

Weeks 1–3 · 3 games

Volume, not production

DK MetcalfWRPIT

DK Metcalf has 33% of PIT's air yards but is scoring 5.2 PPR points a game below what that usage usually produces.

Air-yards share: 33%
Targets: 24
PPR vs expected, per gameEst.: −5.2

Weeks 1–3 · 3 games

Volume, not production

Josh DownsWRIND

Josh Downs has 44% of IND's air yards but is scoring 3.6 PPR points a game below what that usage usually produces.

Air-yards share: 44%
Targets: 24
PPR vs expected, per gameEst.: −3.6

Weeks 1–3 · 3 games

Volume, not production

George PickensWRDAL

George Pickens has 32% of DAL's air yards but is scoring 4.5 PPR points a game below what that usage usually produces.

Air-yards share: 32%
Targets: 25
PPR vs expected, per gameEst.: −4.5

Weeks 1–3 · 3 games

Volume, not production

Terry McLaurinWRWAS

Terry McLaurin has 31% of WAS's air yards but is scoring 4.0 PPR points a game below what that usage usually produces.

Air-yards share: 31%
Targets: 22
PPR vs expected, per gameEst.: −4.0

Weeks 1–3 · 3 games

Volume, not production

Malik WashingtonWRMIA

Malik Washington has 32% of MIA's air yards but is scoring 3.7 PPR points a game below what that usage usually produces.

Air-yards share: 32%
Targets: 23
PPR vs expected, per gameEst.: −3.7

Weeks 1–3 · 3 games

Role up

Jeremiyah LoveRBARI

Jeremiyah Love's share of ARI carries rose to 78% in week 3 (21 carries), from 39% in weeks 1-2.

Carry share, week 3: 78%
Carries, week 3: 21
Carry share, weeks 1–2: 39%

Weeks 1–3 · 3 games

Share of team targets/carries in games he played. Snap counts aren't in FFO's licensed data, so a low earlier share can mean limited playing time.

Role up

Christian McCaffreyRBSF

Christian McCaffrey's share of SF carries rose to 65% in week 3 (15 carries), from 35% in weeks 1-2.

Carry share, week 3: 65%
Carries, week 3: 15
Carry share, weeks 1–2: 35%

Weeks 1–3 · 3 games

Share of team targets/carries in games he played. Snap counts aren't in FFO's licensed data, so a low earlier share can mean limited playing time.

Role up

Chuba HubbardRBCAR

Chuba Hubbard's share of CAR carries rose to 83% in week 3 (19 carries), from 50% in weeks 1-2.

Carry share, week 3: 83%
Carries, week 3: 19
Carry share, weeks 1–2: 50%

Weeks 1–3 · 3 games

Share of team targets/carries in games he played. Snap counts aren't in FFO's licensed data, so a low earlier share can mean limited playing time.

Role up

Saquon BarkleyRBPHI

Saquon Barkley's share of PHI carries rose to 79% in week 3 (15 carries), from 33% in weeks 1-2.

Carry share, week 3: 79%
Carries, week 3: 15
Carry share, weeks 1–2: 33%

Weeks 1–3 · 3 games

Share of team targets/carries in games he played. Snap counts aren't in FFO's licensed data, so a low earlier share can mean limited playing time.

Role up

Tony PollardRBTEN

Tony Pollard's share of TEN carries rose to 81% in week 3 (17 carries), from 49% in weeks 1-2.

Carry share, week 3: 81%
Carries, week 3: 17
Carry share, weeks 1–2: 49%

Weeks 1–3 · 3 games

Share of team targets/carries in games he played. Snap counts aren't in FFO's licensed data, so a low earlier share can mean limited playing time.

Role up

Jaylen WarrenRBPIT

Jaylen Warren's share of PIT carries rose to 74% in week 3 (17 carries), from 48% in weeks 1-2.

Carry share, week 3: 74%
Carries, week 3: 17
Carry share, weeks 1–2: 48%

Weeks 1–3 · 3 games

Share of team targets/carries in games he played. Snap counts aren't in FFO's licensed data, so a low earlier share can mean limited playing time.

Role up

Ollie Gordon IIRBMIA

Ollie Gordon II's share of MIA carries rose to 55% in week 3 (17 carries), from 10% in week 2.

Carry share, week 3: 55%
Carries, week 3: 17
Carry share, week 2: 10%

Weeks 2–3 · 2 games

Share of team targets/carries in games he played. Snap counts aren't in FFO's licensed data, so a low earlier share can mean limited playing time.

Role up

Kyren WilliamsRBLA

Kyren Williams's share of LA carries rose to 65% in week 3 (15 carries), from 40% in weeks 1-2.

Carry share, week 3: 65%
Carries, week 3: 15
Carry share, weeks 1–2: 40%

Weeks 1–3 · 3 games

Share of team targets/carries in games he played. Snap counts aren't in FFO's licensed data, so a low earlier share can mean limited playing time.

Role up

Adonai MitchellWRNYJ

Adonai Mitchell's target share rose to 33% in week 2 (12 targets), from 13% in week 1.

Target share, week 2: 33%
Targets, week 2: 12
Target share, week 1: 13%
Targets, week 1: 3

Weeks 1–2 · 2 games

Share of team targets/carries in games he played. Snap counts aren't in FFO's licensed data, so a low earlier share can mean limited playing time.

Role up

Michael WilsonWRARI

Michael Wilson's target share rose to 34% in week 3 (17 targets), from 22% in weeks 1-2.

Target share, week 3: 34%
Targets, week 3: 17
Target share, weeks 1–2: 22%
Targets, weeks 1–2: 14

Weeks 1–3 · 3 games

Share of team targets/carries in games he played. Snap counts aren't in FFO's licensed data, so a low earlier share can mean limited playing time.

Role up

J.K. DobbinsRBDEN

J.K. Dobbins's share of DEN carries rose to 68% in week 3 (17 carries), from 42% in weeks 1-2.

Carry share, week 3: 68%
Carries, week 3: 17
Carry share, weeks 1–2: 42%

Weeks 1–3 · 3 games

Share of team targets/carries in games he played. Snap counts aren't in FFO's licensed data, so a low earlier share can mean limited playing time.

Role up

DJ MooreWRBUF

DJ Moore's target share rose to 38% in week 3 (10 targets), from 14% in weeks 1-2.

Target share, week 3: 38%
Targets, week 3: 10
Target share, weeks 1–2: 14%
Targets, weeks 1–2: 8

Weeks 1–3 · 3 games

Share of team targets/carries in games he played. Snap counts aren't in FFO's licensed data, so a low earlier share can mean limited playing time.

Role up

Drake LondonWRATL

Drake London's target share rose to 43% in week 3 (10 targets), from 18% in weeks 1-2.

Target share, week 3: 43%
Targets, week 3: 10
Target share, weeks 1–2: 18%
Targets, weeks 1–2: 9

Weeks 1–3 · 3 games

Share of team targets/carries in games he played. Snap counts aren't in FFO's licensed data, so a low earlier share can mean limited playing time.

Role up

Rashee RiceWRKC

Rashee Rice's target share rose to 39% in week 3 (9 targets), from 12% in weeks 1-2.

Target share, week 3: 39%
Targets, week 3: 9
Target share, weeks 1–2: 12%
Targets, weeks 1–2: 8

Weeks 1–3 · 3 games

Share of team targets/carries in games he played. Snap counts aren't in FFO's licensed data, so a low earlier share can mean limited playing time.

Role up

Garrett WilsonWRNYJ

Garrett Wilson's target share rose to 36% in week 3 (13 targets), from 24% in weeks 1-2.

Target share, week 3: 36%
Targets, week 3: 13
Target share, weeks 1–2: 24%
Targets, weeks 1–2: 14

Weeks 1–3 · 3 games

Share of team targets/carries in games he played. Snap counts aren't in FFO's licensed data, so a low earlier share can mean limited playing time.

Role up

Aaron JonesRBMIN

Aaron Jones's target share rose to 24% in week 3 (6 targets), from 2% in weeks 1-2.

Target share, week 3: 24%
Targets, week 3: 6
Target share, weeks 1–2: 2%
Targets, weeks 1–2: 1

Weeks 1–3 · 3 games

Share of team targets/carries in games he played. Snap counts aren't in FFO's licensed data, so a low earlier share can mean limited playing time.

Role up

Ja'Marr ChaseWRCIN

Ja'Marr Chase's target share rose to 32% in week 3 (12 targets), from 20% in weeks 1-2.

Target share, week 3: 32%
Targets, week 3: 12
Target share, weeks 1–2: 20%
Targets, weeks 1–2: 13

Weeks 1–3 · 3 games

Share of team targets/carries in games he played. Snap counts aren't in FFO's licensed data, so a low earlier share can mean limited playing time.

Role up

Tyler HigbeeTELA

Tyler Higbee's target share rose to 22% in week 3 (11 targets), from 7% in week 1.

Target share, week 3: 22%
Targets, week 3: 11
Target share, week 1: 7%
Targets, week 1: 2

Weeks 1 and 3 · 2 games

Share of team targets/carries in games he played. Snap counts aren't in FFO's licensed data, so a low earlier share can mean limited playing time.

Role up

Jordan AddisonWRMIN

Jordan Addison's target share rose to 36% in week 3 (9 targets), from 17% in weeks 1-2.

Target share, week 3: 36%
Targets, week 3: 9
Target share, weeks 1–2: 17%
Targets, weeks 1–2: 7

Weeks 1–3 · 3 games

Share of team targets/carries in games he played. Snap counts aren't in FFO's licensed data, so a low earlier share can mean limited playing time.

Role up

Wan'Dale RobinsonWRTEN

Wan'Dale Robinson's target share rose to 31% in week 3 (11 targets), from 16% in weeks 1-2.

Target share, week 3: 31%
Targets, week 3: 11
Target share, weeks 1–2: 16%
Targets, weeks 1–2: 7

Weeks 1–3 · 3 games

Share of team targets/carries in games he played. Snap counts aren't in FFO's licensed data, so a low earlier share can mean limited playing time.

Role up

Luther Burden IIIWRCHI

Luther Burden III's target share rose to 32% in week 3 (11 targets), from 21% in weeks 1-2.

Target share, week 3: 32%
Targets, week 3: 11
Target share, weeks 1–2: 21%
Targets, weeks 1–2: 12

Weeks 1–3 · 3 games

Share of team targets/carries in games he played. Snap counts aren't in FFO's licensed data, so a low earlier share can mean limited playing time.

Role up

Mack HollinsWRNE

Mack Hollins's target share rose to 30% in week 3 (9 targets), from 13% in weeks 1-2.

Target share, week 3: 30%
Targets, week 3: 9
Target share, weeks 1–2: 13%
Targets, weeks 1–2: 7

Weeks 1–3 · 3 games

Share of team targets/carries in games he played. Snap counts aren't in FFO's licensed data, so a low earlier share can mean limited playing time.

Role up

Jakobi MeyersWRJAX

Jakobi Meyers's target share rose to 30% in week 3 (8 targets), from 6% in weeks 1-2.

Target share, week 3: 30%
Targets, week 3: 8
Target share, weeks 1–2: 6%
Targets, weeks 1–2: 3

Weeks 1–3 · 3 games

Share of team targets/carries in games he played. Snap counts aren't in FFO's licensed data, so a low earlier share can mean limited playing time.

Role up

Harold Fannin Jr.TECLE

Harold Fannin Jr.'s target share rose to 30% in week 3 (9 targets), from 17% in weeks 1-2.

Target share, week 3: 30%
Targets, week 3: 9
Target share, weeks 1–2: 17%
Targets, weeks 1–2: 9

Weeks 1–3 · 3 games

Share of team targets/carries in games he played. Snap counts aren't in FFO's licensed data, so a low earlier share can mean limited playing time.

Role up

AJ BarnerTESEA

AJ Barner's target share rose to 20% in week 3 (9 targets), from 6% in weeks 1-2.

Target share, week 3: 20%
Targets, week 3: 9
Target share, weeks 1–2: 6%
Targets, weeks 1–2: 3

Weeks 1–3 · 3 games

Share of team targets/carries in games he played. Snap counts aren't in FFO's licensed data, so a low earlier share can mean limited playing time.

Role up

George KittleTESF

George Kittle's target share rose to 27% in week 3 (7 targets), from 16% in weeks 1-2.

Target share, week 3: 27%
Targets, week 3: 7
Target share, weeks 1–2: 16%
Targets, weeks 1–2: 9

Weeks 1–3 · 3 games

Share of team targets/carries in games he played. Snap counts aren't in FFO's licensed data, so a low earlier share can mean limited playing time.

Role up

Kenyon SadiqTENYJ

Kenyon Sadiq's target share rose to 22% in week 3 (8 targets), from 10% in weeks 1-2.

Target share, week 3: 22%
Targets, week 3: 8
Target share, weeks 1–2: 10%
Targets, weeks 1–2: 6

Weeks 1–3 · 3 games

Share of team targets/carries in games he played. Snap counts aren't in FFO's licensed data, so a low earlier share can mean limited playing time.

Role up

Darren WallerTECAR

Darren Waller's target share rose to 19% in week 3 (8 targets), from 8% in weeks 1-2.

Target share, week 3: 19%
Targets, week 3: 8
Target share, weeks 1–2: 8%
Targets, weeks 1–2: 5

Weeks 1–3 · 3 games

Share of team targets/carries in games he played. Snap counts aren't in FFO's licensed data, so a low earlier share can mean limited playing time.

Role up

Chris BellWRMIA

Chris Bell's target share rose to 20% in week 3 (7 targets), from 6% in weeks 1-2.

Target share, week 3: 20%
Targets, week 3: 7
Target share, weeks 1–2: 6%
Targets, weeks 1–2: 3

Weeks 1–3 · 3 games

Share of team targets/carries in games he played. Snap counts aren't in FFO's licensed data, so a low earlier share can mean limited playing time.

Role up

Konata MumpfieldWRLA

Konata Mumpfield's target share rose to 16% in week 3 (8 targets), from 5% in weeks 1-2.

Target share, week 3: 16%
Targets, week 3: 8
Target share, weeks 1–2: 5%
Targets, weeks 1–2: 3

Weeks 1–3 · 3 games

Share of team targets/carries in games he played. Snap counts aren't in FFO's licensed data, so a low earlier share can mean limited playing time.

Role up

Greg DulcichTEMIA

Greg Dulcich's target share rose to 20% in week 3 (7 targets), from 10% in weeks 1-2.

Target share, week 3: 20%
Targets, week 3: 7
Target share, weeks 1–2: 10%
Targets, weeks 1–2: 5

Weeks 1–3 · 3 games

Share of team targets/carries in games he played. Snap counts aren't in FFO's licensed data, so a low earlier share can mean limited playing time.

Role down

Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWRSEA

Jaxon Smith-Njigba's target share fell to 31% in week 3 (14 targets), from 44% in weeks 1-2.

Target share, week 3: 31%
Targets, week 3: 14
Target share, weeks 1–2: 44%
Targets, weeks 1–2: 22

Weeks 1–3 · 3 games

Share of team targets/carries in games he played. Snap counts aren't in FFO's licensed data, so a low earlier share can mean limited playing time.

Role down

Trey McBrideTEARI

Trey McBride's target share fell to 22% in week 3 (11 targets), from 37% in weeks 1-2.

Target share, week 3: 22%
Targets, week 3: 11
Target share, weeks 1–2: 37%
Targets, weeks 1–2: 23

Weeks 1–3 · 3 games

Share of team targets/carries in games he played. Snap counts aren't in FFO's licensed data, so a low earlier share can mean limited playing time.

Role down

Parker WashingtonWRJAX

Parker Washington's target share fell to 19% in week 3 (5 targets), from 37% in weeks 1-2.

Target share, week 3: 19%
Targets, week 3: 5
Target share, weeks 1–2: 37%
Targets, weeks 1–2: 18

Weeks 1–3 · 3 games

Share of team targets/carries in games he played. Snap counts aren't in FFO's licensed data, so a low earlier share can mean limited playing time.

Role down

Tetairoa McMillanWRCAR

Tetairoa McMillan's target share fell to 12% in week 3 (5 targets), from 27% in weeks 1-2.

Target share, week 3: 12%
Targets, week 3: 5
Target share, weeks 1–2: 27%
Targets, weeks 1–2: 18

Weeks 1–3 · 3 games

Share of team targets/carries in games he played. Snap counts aren't in FFO's licensed data, so a low earlier share can mean limited playing time.

Role down

Jalen CokerWRCAR

Jalen Coker's target share fell to 10% in week 3 (4 targets), from 27% in weeks 1-2.

Target share, week 3: 10%
Targets, week 3: 4
Target share, weeks 1–2: 27%
Targets, weeks 1–2: 18

Weeks 1–3 · 3 games

Share of team targets/carries in games he played. Snap counts aren't in FFO's licensed data, so a low earlier share can mean limited playing time.

Role down

TreVeyon HendersonRBNE

TreVeyon Henderson's share of NE carries fell to 31% in week 3 (8 carries), from 57% in week 2.

Carry share, week 3: 31%
Carries, week 3: 8
Carry share, week 2: 57%

Weeks 2–3 · 2 games

Share of team targets/carries in games he played. Snap counts aren't in FFO's licensed data, so a low earlier share can mean limited playing time.

Red-zone role

Jahmyr GibbsRBDET

Jahmyr Gibbs has 23 of DET's 42 red-zone opportunities (55%), including 7 carries inside the 5.

Red-zone opportunities: 23
Team red-zone opportunities: 42
Red-zone share: 55%
Carries inside the 5: 7

Weeks 1–3 · 3 games

Red-zone role

Derrick HenryRBBAL

Derrick Henry has 20 of BAL's 35 red-zone opportunities (57%), including 9 carries inside the 5.

Red-zone opportunities: 20
Team red-zone opportunities: 35
Red-zone share: 57%
Carries inside the 5: 9

Weeks 1–3 · 3 games

Red-zone role

Ashton JeantyRBLV

Ashton Jeanty has 19 of LV's 34 red-zone opportunities (56%), including 6 carries inside the 5.

Red-zone opportunities: 19
Team red-zone opportunities: 34
Red-zone share: 56%
Carries inside the 5: 6

Weeks 1–3 · 3 games

Red-zone role

Kenneth Walker IIIRBKC

Kenneth Walker III has 20 of KC's 39 red-zone opportunities (51%), including 5 carries inside the 5.

Red-zone opportunities: 20
Team red-zone opportunities: 39
Red-zone share: 51%
Carries inside the 5: 5

Weeks 1–3 · 3 games

Red-zone role

Bijan RobinsonRBATL

Bijan Robinson has 11 of ATL's 13 red-zone opportunities (85%), including 5 carries inside the 5.

Red-zone opportunities: 11
Team red-zone opportunities: 13
Red-zone share: 85%
Carries inside the 5: 5

Weeks 1–3 · 3 games

Red-zone role

Jonathan TaylorRBIND

Jonathan Taylor has 13 of IND's 27 red-zone opportunities (48%), including 5 carries inside the 5.

Red-zone opportunities: 13
Team red-zone opportunities: 27
Red-zone share: 48%
Carries inside the 5: 5

Weeks 1–3 · 3 games

Red-zone role

Javonte WilliamsRBDAL

Javonte Williams has 14 of DAL's 35 red-zone opportunities (40%), including 6 carries inside the 5.

Red-zone opportunities: 14
Team red-zone opportunities: 35
Red-zone share: 40%
Carries inside the 5: 6

Weeks 1–3 · 3 games

Touchdowns above usage

Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWRSEA

Jaxon Smith-Njigba has scored 6 touchdowns on opportunities that usually produce 2.9, per FFO's expected-points model.

Touchdowns: 6
Expected touchdownsEst.: 2.9
Expected PPR per gameEst.: 22.5
PPR vs expected, per gameEst.: +12.1

Weeks 1–3 · 3 games

Model estimate, not a forecast: v1 predicts about as well as raw points.

Touchdowns above usage

Amon-Ra St. BrownWRDET

Amon-Ra St. Brown has scored 5 touchdowns on opportunities that usually produce 2.7, per FFO's expected-points model.

Touchdowns: 5
Expected touchdownsEst.: 2.7
Expected PPR per gameEst.: 21.8
PPR vs expected, per gameEst.: +3.4

Weeks 1–3 · 3 games

Model estimate, not a forecast: v1 predicts about as well as raw points.

Touchdowns above usage

Jahmyr GibbsRBDET

Jahmyr Gibbs has scored 6 touchdowns on opportunities that usually produce 4.1, per FFO's expected-points model.

Touchdowns: 6
Expected touchdownsEst.: 4.1
Expected PPR per gameEst.: 26.4
PPR vs expected, per gameEst.: +7.0

Weeks 1–3 · 3 games

Model estimate, not a forecast: v1 predicts about as well as raw points.

Touchdowns above usage

Derrick HenryRBBAL

Derrick Henry has scored 6 touchdowns on opportunities that usually produce 4.4, per FFO's expected-points model.

Touchdowns: 6
Expected touchdownsEst.: 4.4
Expected PPR per gameEst.: 19.7
PPR vs expected, per gameEst.: +5.3

Weeks 1–3 · 3 games

Model estimate, not a forecast: v1 predicts about as well as raw points.

Touchdowns above usage

Christian WatsonWRGB

Christian Watson has scored 4 touchdowns on opportunities that usually produce 2.4, per FFO's expected-points model.

Touchdowns: 4
Expected touchdownsEst.: 2.4
Expected PPR per gameEst.: 18.6
PPR vs expected, per gameEst.: +4.5

Weeks 1–3 · 3 games

Model estimate, not a forecast: v1 predicts about as well as raw points.

Touchdowns above usage

Ja'Marr ChaseWRCIN

Ja'Marr Chase has scored 3 touchdowns on opportunities that usually produce 1.5, per FFO's expected-points model.

Touchdowns: 3
Expected touchdownsEst.: 1.5
Expected PPR per gameEst.: 14.9
PPR vs expected, per gameEst.: +3.3

Weeks 1–3 · 3 games

Model estimate, not a forecast: v1 predicts about as well as raw points.

Touchdowns above usage

Noah FantTENO

Noah Fant has scored 3 touchdowns on opportunities that usually produce 1.0, per FFO's expected-points model.

Touchdowns: 3
Expected touchdownsEst.: 1.0
Expected PPR per gameEst.: 10.8
PPR vs expected, per gameEst.: +5.5

Weeks 1 and 3 · 2 games

Model estimate, not a forecast: v1 predicts about as well as raw points.

Touchdowns below usage

Tetairoa McMillanWRCAR

Tetairoa McMillan has scored 0 touchdowns on opportunities that usually produce 2.6, per FFO's expected-points model.

Touchdowns: 0
Expected touchdownsEst.: 2.6
Expected PPR per gameEst.: 15.8
PPR vs expected, per gameEst.: −5.3

Weeks 1–3 · 3 games

Model estimate, not a forecast: v1 predicts about as well as raw points.

Touchdowns below usage

Emanuel WilsonRBSEA

Emanuel Wilson has scored 0 touchdowns on opportunities that usually produce 3.0, per FFO's expected-points model.

Touchdowns: 0
Expected touchdownsEst.: 3.0
Expected PPR per gameEst.: 10.5
PPR vs expected, per gameEst.: −6.9

Weeks 1–3 · 3 games

Model estimate, not a forecast: v1 predicts about as well as raw points.

Touchdowns below usage

J.K. DobbinsRBDEN

J.K. Dobbins has scored 0 touchdowns on opportunities that usually produce 2.2, per FFO's expected-points model.

Touchdowns: 0
Expected touchdownsEst.: 2.2
Expected PPR per gameEst.: 10.1
PPR vs expected, per gameEst.: −5.6

Weeks 1–3 · 3 games

Model estimate, not a forecast: v1 predicts about as well as raw points.

Touchdowns below usage

Tony PollardRBTEN

Tony Pollard has scored 0 touchdowns on opportunities that usually produce 1.5, per FFO's expected-points model.

Touchdowns: 0
Expected touchdownsEst.: 1.5
Expected PPR per gameEst.: 11.6
PPR vs expected, per gameEst.: −3.1

Weeks 1–3 · 3 games

Model estimate, not a forecast: v1 predicts about as well as raw points.

Touchdowns below usage

Courtland SuttonWRDEN

Courtland Sutton has scored 0 touchdowns on opportunities that usually produce 1.6, per FFO's expected-points model.

Touchdowns: 0
Expected touchdownsEst.: 1.6
Expected PPR per gameEst.: 10.3
PPR vs expected, per gameEst.: −4.9

Weeks 1–3 · 3 games

Model estimate, not a forecast: v1 predicts about as well as raw points.

Touchdowns below usage

George HolaniRBSEA

George Holani has scored 0 touchdowns on opportunities that usually produce 1.6, per FFO's expected-points model.

Touchdowns: 0
Expected touchdownsEst.: 1.6
Expected PPR per gameEst.: 8.2
PPR vs expected, per gameEst.: −2.8

Weeks 1–3 · 3 games

Model estimate, not a forecast: v1 predicts about as well as raw points.

Injury opening

Puka NacuaWRLA

Puka Nacua is listed doubtful (hip) on the week 3 report. He has 33% of LA's targets. Other WRs by share: Davante Adams (27%), Konata Mumpfield (10%).

Week 3 official injury report: Doubtful (hip)
Target share: 33%
Next by share: Davante Adams 27%, Konata Mumpfield 10%

Week 1 · 1 game

Injury opening

Nico CollinsWRHOU

Nico Collins is listed out (hamstring) on the week 3 report. He has 27% of HOU's targets. Other WRs by share: Xavier Hutchinson (19%), Jared Wayne (11%).

Week 3 official injury report: Out (hamstring)
Target share: 27%
Next by share: Xavier Hutchinson 19%, Jared Wayne 11%

Week 1 · 1 game

Injury opening

Caleb DouglasWRMIA

Caleb Douglas is listed out (ankle) on the week 3 report. He has 20% of MIA's targets. Other WRs by share: Malik Washington (27%), Chris Bell (12%).

Week 3 official injury report: Out (ankle)
Target share: 20%
Next by share: Malik Washington 27%, Chris Bell 12%

Weeks 1–2 · 2 games

QB efficiency

Brock PurdyQBSF

Brock Purdy is at +0.62 EPA per dropback over 83 dropbacks, 1st of 30 QBs with 50+.

EPA rank: 1 of 30 qualified QBs
EPA per dropback: +0.62
Dropbacks: 83

Weeks 1–3 · 3 games

QB efficiency

Drew LockQBSEA

Drew Lock is at +0.45 EPA per dropback over 50 dropbacks, 2nd of 30 QBs with 50+.

EPA rank: 2 of 30 qualified QBs
EPA per dropback: +0.45
Dropbacks: 50

Weeks 1–2 · 2 games

QB efficiency

Jameis WinstonQBNYG

Jameis Winston is at -0.42 EPA per dropback over 54 dropbacks, 30th of 30 QBs with 50+.

EPA rank: 30 of 30 qualified QBs
EPA per dropback: −0.42
Dropbacks: 54

Weeks 2–3 · 2 games

QB efficiency

Baker MayfieldQBTB

Baker Mayfield is at -0.30 EPA per dropback over 109 dropbacks, 29th of 30 QBs with 50+.

EPA rank: 29 of 30 qualified QBs
EPA per dropback: −0.30
Dropbacks: 109

Weeks 1–3 · 3 games

Rookie role

Jeremiyah LoveRBARI

Rookie Jeremiyah Love has 53% of ARI's carries through 3 games.

Target share: 11%
Carry share: 53%
Targets: 12
Carries: 41

Weeks 1–3 · 3 games

Rookie role

Carnell TateWRTEN

Rookie Carnell Tate has a 25% target share through 3 games.

Target share: 25%
Targets: 20

Weeks 1–3 · 3 games

Rookie role

KC ConcepcionWRCLE

Rookie KC Concepcion has a 24% target share through 3 games.

Target share: 24%
Carry share: 5%
Targets: 20
Carries: 4

Weeks 1–3 · 3 games

Rookie role

Denzel BostonWRCLE

Rookie Denzel Boston has a 18% target share through 3 games.

Target share: 18%
Targets: 15

Weeks 1–3 · 3 games

Rookie role

Caleb DouglasWRMIA

Rookie Caleb Douglas has a 20% target share through 2 games.

Target share: 20%
Targets: 10

Weeks 1–2 · 2 games

Rookie role

Jadarian PriceRBSEA

Rookie Jadarian Price has 35% of SEA's carries through 3 games.

Target share: 7%
Carry share: 35%
Targets: 7
Carries: 28

Weeks 1–3 · 3 games

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