FantasyOutsiders

Wide receiver · Cincinnati Bengals

Ja'Marr Chase

Ja'Marr Chase gets about 3 of every 10 Bengals passes (25%), 73 targets in all. He's had 13 chances within 20 yards of the end zone and is scoring 20.0 fantasy points a game (PPR).

2026 season · Weeks 1–9 · Report built

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Historical game data. Injury designations apply only to their stated report week; confirm current availability before setting a lineup.

Season usage

8 games with a target, carry or dropback. Shares use those offensive-usage games. Fantasy averages use 8 recorded NFL weekly-stat appearances, including games without offensive touches.

Target share

25%

about 3 of every 10 passes

Air-yards share

33%

WOPR

0.61

Targets

73

Red-zone chances

13

End-zone targets

8

Expected points per gameEst.

16.4

Fantasy points per game (PPR)

20.0

Official rushing and receiving touchdowns: 7. The model estimates 4.7 touchdowns Est. from recorded targets and carries. Lateral scores can fall outside those model opportunities; return scores are excluded from this comparison.

Opportunity and performance

See the role, target quality and results behind the season totals. Every metric uses the sample shown.

Average depth of target

10.4 yds

61 targets with air yards · nflverse

Mean air yards on targeted passes with recorded air yards, including incomplete and intercepted passes.

Deep target rate

14.8%

9 of 61 targets with air yards · nflverse

Share of targets at least 20 air yards downfield, among targets with recorded air yards.

End-zone target rate

11.5%

7 of 61 targets with depth and field position · nflverse

Share of targets reaching the goal line or beyond, among targets with recorded air yards and field position.

Catch rate

70.5%

43 of 61 targets with completion result · nflverse

Completed targeted passes divided by targets with a recorded completion result; not adjusted for target difficulty.

Catchable-target rate

75.4%

46 of 61 targets with catchability charted · FTN Data via nflverse

Share of a receiver's joined charted targets marked catchable, among targets with a known catchability flag.

Drop rate on catchable targets

2.2%

1 of 46 catchable targets with drop charted · FTN Data via nflverse

Drops divided by joined charted targets marked catchable with a known drop flag; unknown charting is excluded.

Primary-read target rate

0.0%

0 of 51 targets with progression read charted · FTN Data via nflverse

Share of a receiver's targets marked primary read (code 0) among known progression reads 0, 1 and 2. Checkdowns, designed targets and scramble drills are excluded; this is not team target share.

Updated Nov 9, 2026. Completed regular-season weeks only; samples can differ by metric.

Play-by-play: Weeks 1–8, 121 games. Games through Nov 2, 2026.

FTN charting: Weeks 1–8, 121 games (partial coverage). Charting pulled Nov 4, 2026. Excluded catchability/drop values on 16 contradictory charted plays. Other known charting remains available.

nflverse; calculations by Fantasy Football Outsiders (CC-BY-4.0).

FTN Data via nflverse; joined and aggregated by Fantasy Football Outsiders. FTN-derived metrics: CC BY-SA 4.0 (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0/).

Compare recorded metrics across positions →

Where he ranks

Among wide receivers who meet each leaderboard's minimum.

Target share by week

12%W129%W232%W36%W432%W525%W734%W843%W9
Ja'Marr Chase target share by week

Week by week

Official weekly-stat appearances, including games with scoring but no recorded offensive usage. A dash means no usage or model value is available for that game.
WeekOpponentTargetsTarget shareAir yardsCatchesReceiving yardsCarriesRed-zone chancesFantasy points (PPR)Expected pointsEst.Points vs expectedEst.
1TB412%34212013.27.2−4.0
2HOU929%817750126.516.0+10.5
3PIT1232%999980224.821.4+3.4
4JAX36%12327005.74.4+1.3
5MIA1032%1246770319.719.6+0.1
7BAL725%675620117.213.8+3.4
8TEN1634%218111410231.128.7+2.4
9ATL1243%103101550331.519.8+11.7

Talking points

Ja'Marr Chase's target share rose to 43% in week 9 (12 targets), from 23% in weeks 1-8.

Role up

Target share, week 9
43%
Targets, week 9
12
Target share, weeks 1–5 and 7–8
23%
Targets, weeks 1–5 and 7–8
61

Observed: Weeks 1–5 and 7–9 · 8 games

  • Share of team targets/carries in games he played. Snap counts aren't in FFO's licensed data, so a low earlier share can mean limited playing time.

Ja'Marr Chase has scored 7 touchdowns on modeled targets and carries that usually produce 4.7, per FFO's expected-points model.

Touchdowns above usage

Touchdowns
7
Expected touchdownsEst.
4.7
Expected PPR per gameEst.
16.4
PPR vs expected, per gameEst.
+3.6

Observed: Weeks 1–5 and 7–9 · 8 games

  • Model estimate, not a forecast: v1 predicts about as well as raw points.

Bengals teammates

Compare with

Wide receivers whose expected points per game Est. are closest to his. See their usage side by side.