Rushing EPA per carry
−0.12
158 carries with EPA · nflverse
Mean expected points added on non-kneel, non-scramble rushing attempts with recorded EPA.
Running back · Baltimore Ravens
Derrick Henry gets about 7 of every 10 Ravens runs (66%) and has had 14 passes thrown to him. He's had 41 chances within 20 yards of the end zone and is scoring 15.8 fantasy points a game (PPR).
2026 season · Weeks 1–9 · Report built
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Historical game data. Injury designations apply only to their stated report week; confirm current availability before setting a lineup.
Carry share
66%
about 7 of every 10 runs
Carries
175
Target share
6%
about 1 of every 10 passes
Targets
14
Red-zone chances
41
Goal-line runs
16
Expected points per gameEst.
15.9
Fantasy points per game (PPR)
15.8
Official rushing and receiving touchdowns: 9. The model estimates 8.7 touchdowns Est. from recorded targets and carries. Lateral scores can fall outside those model opportunities; return scores are excluded from this comparison.
−0.12
158 carries with EPA · nflverse
Mean expected points added on non-kneel, non-scramble rushing attempts with recorded EPA.
38.6%
61 of 158 carries with EPA · nflverse
Share of non-kneel, non-scramble carries with EPA above zero, among carries with recorded EPA.
9.5%
15 of 158 carries with yards · nflverse
Share of non-kneel, non-scramble carries gaining at least 10 yards, among carries with recorded yards.
19.6%
31 of 158 carries with yards · nflverse
Share of non-kneel, non-scramble carries gaining zero or fewer yards, among carries with recorded yards.
16
158 carries with field position · nflverse
Non-kneel, non-scramble carries starting at the opponent's five-yard line or closer.
−2.4 yds
14 targets with air yards · nflverse
Mean air yards on targeted passes with recorded air yards, including incomplete and intercepted passes.
0.0%
0 of 14 targets with air yards · nflverse
Share of targets at least 20 air yards downfield, among targets with recorded air yards.
0.0%
0 of 14 targets with depth and field position · nflverse
Share of targets reaching the goal line or beyond, among targets with recorded air yards and field position.
85.7%
12 of 14 targets with completion result · nflverse
Completed targeted passes divided by targets with a recorded completion result; not adjusted for target difficulty.
92.9%
13 of 14 targets with catchability charted · FTN Data via nflverse
Share of a receiver's joined charted targets marked catchable, among targets with a known catchability flag.
7.7%
1 of 13 catchable targets with drop charted · FTN Data via nflverse
Drops divided by joined charted targets marked catchable with a known drop flag; unknown charting is excluded.
0.0%
0 of 1 targets with progression read charted · FTN Data via nflverse
Share of a receiver's targets marked primary read (code 0) among known progression reads 0, 1 and 2. Checkdowns, designed targets and scramble drills are excluded; this is not team target share.
Updated Nov 9, 2026. Completed regular-season weeks only; samples can differ by metric.
Play-by-play: Weeks 1–8, 121 games. Games through Nov 2, 2026.
FTN charting: Weeks 1–8, 121 games (partial coverage). Charting pulled Nov 4, 2026. Excluded catchability/drop values on 16 contradictory charted plays. Other known charting remains available.
nflverse; calculations by Fantasy Football Outsiders (CC-BY-4.0).
| Week | Opponent | Carries | Carry share | Rushing yards | Targets | Target share | Red-zone chances | Fantasy points (PPR) | Expected pointsEst. | Points vs expectedEst. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IND | 24 | 65% | 144 | 1 | 4% | 6 | 35.3 | 17.4 | +17.9 |
| 2 | NO | 16 | 73% | 68 | 3 | 10% | 5 | 17.7 | 15.7 | +2.0 |
| 3 | DAL | 26 | 68% | 89 | 1 | 5% | 9 | 21.9 | 26.1 | −4.2 |
| 4 | TEN | 23 | 77% | 73 | 2 | 7% | 3 | 15.9 | 17.0 | −1.1 |
| 5 | ATL | 24 | 69% | 102 | 2 | 6% | 6 | 21.0 | 19.7 | −0.7 |
| 6 | CLE | 17 | 74% | 58 | 1 | 3% | 4 | 5.0 | 15.7 | −8.7 |
| 7 | CIN | 17 | 63% | 45 | 2 | 6% | 4 | 5.9 | 12.0 | −6.1 |
| 8 | BUF | 11 | 58% | 53 | 2 | 8% | 4 | 14.0 | 11.1 | +2.9 |
| 9 | JAX | 17 | 50% | 57 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 5.6 | 8.5 | −3.0 |
Red-zone role
Observed: Weeks 1–9 · 9 games
Running backs whose expected points per game Est. are closest to his. See their usage side by side.