Rushing EPA per carry
+0.07
141 carries with EPA · nflverse
Mean expected points added on non-kneel, non-scramble rushing attempts with recorded EPA.
Running back · Kansas City Chiefs
Kenneth Walker III gets about 7 of every 10 Chiefs runs (73%) and has had 36 passes thrown to him. He's had 43 chances within 20 yards of the end zone and is scoring 24.6 fantasy points a game (PPR).
2026 season · Weeks 1–9 · Report built
Showing the saved fallback report. The latest report could not be confirmed; use the coverage and build date shown here.
Historical game data. Injury designations apply only to their stated report week; confirm current availability before setting a lineup.
Carry share
73%
about 7 of every 10 runs
Carries
159
Target share
15%
about 2 of every 10 passes
Targets
36
Red-zone chances
43
Goal-line runs
15
Expected points per gameEst.
21.2
Fantasy points per game (PPR)
24.6
Official rushing and receiving touchdowns: 11. The model estimates 9.7 touchdowns Est. from recorded targets and carries. Lateral scores can fall outside those model opportunities; return scores are excluded from this comparison.
+0.07
141 carries with EPA · nflverse
Mean expected points added on non-kneel, non-scramble rushing attempts with recorded EPA.
44.7%
63 of 141 carries with EPA · nflverse
Share of non-kneel, non-scramble carries with EPA above zero, among carries with recorded EPA.
14.2%
20 of 141 carries with yards · nflverse
Share of non-kneel, non-scramble carries gaining at least 10 yards, among carries with recorded yards.
15.6%
22 of 141 carries with yards · nflverse
Share of non-kneel, non-scramble carries gaining zero or fewer yards, among carries with recorded yards.
13
141 carries with field position · nflverse
Non-kneel, non-scramble carries starting at the opponent's five-yard line or closer.
−0.7 yds
32 targets with air yards · nflverse
Mean air yards on targeted passes with recorded air yards, including incomplete and intercepted passes.
0.0%
0 of 32 targets with air yards · nflverse
Share of targets at least 20 air yards downfield, among targets with recorded air yards.
3.1%
1 of 32 targets with depth and field position · nflverse
Share of targets reaching the goal line or beyond, among targets with recorded air yards and field position.
68.8%
22 of 32 targets with completion result · nflverse
Completed targeted passes divided by targets with a recorded completion result; not adjusted for target difficulty.
75.0%
24 of 32 targets with catchability charted · FTN Data via nflverse
Share of a receiver's joined charted targets marked catchable, among targets with a known catchability flag.
8.3%
2 of 24 catchable targets with drop charted · FTN Data via nflverse
Drops divided by joined charted targets marked catchable with a known drop flag; unknown charting is excluded.
0.0%
0 of 7 targets with progression read charted · FTN Data via nflverse
Share of a receiver's targets marked primary read (code 0) among known progression reads 0, 1 and 2. Checkdowns, designed targets and scramble drills are excluded; this is not team target share.
Updated Nov 9, 2026. Completed regular-season weeks only; samples can differ by metric.
Play-by-play: Weeks 1–8, 121 games. Games through Nov 2, 2026.
FTN charting: Weeks 1–8, 121 games (partial coverage). Charting pulled Nov 4, 2026. Excluded catchability/drop values on 16 contradictory charted plays. Other known charting remains available.
nflverse; calculations by Fantasy Football Outsiders (CC-BY-4.0).
| Week | Opponent | Carries | Carry share | Rushing yards | Targets | Target share | Red-zone chances | Fantasy points (PPR) | Expected pointsEst. | Points vs expectedEst. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DEN | 23 | 61% | 173 | 6 | 24% | 4 | 34.1 | 22.5 | +11.6 |
| 2 | IND | 24 | 83% | 117 | 10 | 23% | 7 | 23.8 | 35.9 | −12.1 |
| 3 | MIA | 18 | 72% | 70 | 2 | 9% | 9 | 21.3 | 15.6 | +5.7 |
| 4 | LV | 22 | 85% | 177 | 1 | 4% | 4 | 30.9 | 18.4 | +12.5 |
| 6 | LAC | 19 | 70% | 128 | 3 | 10% | 9 | 27.9 | 22.7 | +5.2 |
| 7 | SEA | 14 | 88% | 36 | 5 | 16% | 0 | 9.7 | 13.8 | −4.1 |
| 8 | DEN | 21 | 88% | 69 | 5 | 13% | 5 | 12.4 | 21.8 | −9.4 |
| 9 | NYJ | 18 | 56% | 102 | 4 | 14% | 5 | 36.3 | 19.2 | +17.1 |
Red-zone role
Observed: Weeks 1–4 and 6–9 · 8 games
Running backs whose expected points per game Est. are closest to his. See their usage side by side.