FantasyOutsiders

Team usage · BUF

Buffalo Bills

Who gets the ball in Bills games: the passes, the runs and the chances near the end zone.

2026 season · Weeks 1–9 · Report built

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Historical game data. Injury designations apply only to their stated report week; confirm current availability before setting a lineup.

Every week so far

Switches the target, backfield and red-zone tables below.

Target distribution

Out of every 10 passes the team throws, how many go to each player. More passes mean more chances to score.
PlayerPositionTarget shareGamesTargetsAir-yards shareWOPREnd-zone targets
Khalil ShakirWR
20%
73811%0.372
DJ MooreWR
19%
52727%0.472
Dalton KincaidTE
18%
73519%0.413
Keon ColemanWR
14%
72723%0.373
Ty JohnsonRB
11%
515−1%0.160
James CookRB
9%
7170%0.130
Josh PalmerWR
8%
51221%0.271
Skyler BellWR
6%
2314%0.191
Dawson KnoxTE
6%
7123%0.113
Jackson HawesTE
5%
237%0.120
Ray DavisRB
2%
53−1%0.030

Backfield split

Out of every 10 runs, how many each player gets. It shows who the main running back is.
PlayerPositionCarry shareGamesCarriesGoal-line runsRed-zone share
James CookRB
64%
71381038%
Josh AllenQB
25%
7551023%
Ray DavisRB
7%
51100%
Kyle AllenQB
5%
1200%
Frank Gore Jr.RB
5%
1100%
Ty JohnsonRB
4%
5617%

Red-zone share

Passes and runs that start within 20 yards of the end zone: the closest chances to score.
PlayerPositionRed-zone shareGamesRed-zone chancesGoal-line runsEnd-zone targets
James CookRB
38%
730100
Josh AllenQB
23%
718100
DJ MooreWR
11%
5602
Khalil ShakirWR
10%
7802
Dalton KincaidTE
8%
7603
Ty JohnsonRB
7%
5410
Keon ColemanWR
5%
7403
Skyler BellWR
4%
2101
Dawson KnoxTE
4%
7303

Quarterback

Whoever played most recently is listed first.
PlayerLast gameGamesDropbacksEPA per dropbackCPOE (accuracy)CarriesExpected points per game Est.
Josh AllenWeek 87218+0.23+4.15521.5

Target share by week

Out of every 10 passes each week, how many went to each player. A dash means no passes, runs or pass plays for him that week (a bye week, or he didn't play or get a chance).
PlayerWeek 1Week 2Week 3Week 4Week 5Week 6Week 7Week 8Week 9Season
Khalil Shakir WR21%21%12%27%17%20%—18%—20%
DJ Moore WR29%0%38%7%———21%—19%
Dalton Kincaid TE21%29%12%7%11%27%—18%—18%
Keon Coleman WR4%21%8%23%11%20%—9%—14%
Ty Johnson RB——15%7%22%7%—9%—11%
James Cook RB14%11%4%7%6%10%—9%—9%
Josh Palmer WR7%11%—13%—7%—3%—8%
Skyler Bell WR————11%3%———6%

Bills talking points

James Cook

RBBUFTouchdowns above usage

James Cook has scored 7 touchdowns on modeled targets and carries that usually produce 5.4, per FFO's expected-points model.

Touchdowns
7
Expected touchdownsEst.
5.4
Expected PPR per gameEst.
16.2
PPR vs expected, per gameEst.
+3.2

Observed: Weeks 1–6 and 8 · 7 games

  • Model estimate, not a forecast: v1 predicts about as well as raw points.

What the Bills defense allows

Per game, what opposing quarterbacks, running backs, wide receivers and tight ends have done against the Bills in weeks 1–6 and 8. Ranks compare every defense.
  • QBvs Quarterbacks

    18.4

    fantasy points a game (PPR)

    The 8th most of the 32 defenses

    Per game

    • 38.3pass attempts
    • 269.0passing yards
    • 2.9carries
    • 0.3red-zone chances
    Every defense vs quarterbacks →
  • RBvs Running backs

    27.4

    fantasy points a game (PPR)

    The 3rd most of the 32 defenses

    Per game

    • 22.0carries
    • 8.7targets
    • 6.0catches
    • 6.1red-zone chances
    Every defense vs running backs →
  • WRvs Wide receivers

    37.1

    fantasy points a game (PPR)

    The 5th most of the 32 defenses

    Per game

    • 19.7targets
    • 12.0catches
    • 227.9air yards
    • 3.6red-zone chances
    Every defense vs wide receivers →
  • TEvs Tight ends

    14.1

    fantasy points a game (PPR)

    The 14th most of the 32 defenses

    Per game

    • 9.1targets
    • 6.1catches
    • 59.1air yards
    • 1.3red-zone chances
    Every defense vs tight ends →

Game by game

Fantasy points (PPR) that opposing players scored against the Bills in each game.

Fantasy points allowed by the Buffalo Bills defense, by week and position
WeekOpponentQuarterbacksRunning backsWide receiversTight ends
1HOU16.533.940.014.4
2DET29.826.345.117.2
3LAC12.728.831.20.0
4NE26.222.647.813.4
5LA27.335.861.219.0
6LV18.522.728.627.5
8BAL−2.122.05.56.9

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