Leaderboard · running backs, wide receivers, tight ends
Fantasy points vs expected
His real fantasy points minus our estimate, per game. Plus means he scored more than his role usually does; minus means less. Est.
Why it matters: It shows when a player's points are running ahead of, or behind, his role.
Exact definition: Points on his scrimmage plays minus the FFO model estimate, per game. All stats explained
2026 season · Weeks 1–3 · Updated Sep 29, 2026
Scoring above their usage
| # | Player | Position | Team | Points vs expectedEst. | Expected points per gameEst. | Fantasy points per game (PPR) | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | WR | SEA | +12.1 | 22.5 | 34.7 | 3 |
| 2 | Zay Flowers | WR | BAL | +9.8 | 10.9 | 20.7 | 2 |
| 3 | Jahmyr Gibbs | RB | DET | +7.0 | 26.4 | 32.8 | 3 |
| 4 | CeeDee Lamb | WR | DAL | +6.8 | 16.2 | 23.6 | 3 |
| 5 | Travis Kelce | TE | KC | +6.6 | 9.8 | 16.4 | 3 |
| 6 | Dallas Goedert | TE | PHI | +6.4 | 6.1 | 12.5 | 2 |
| 7 | Josh Palmer | WR | BUF | +5.8 | 5.1 | 10.9 | 2 |
| 8 | Dalton Kincaid | TE | BUF | +5.6 | 9.8 | 14.8 | 3 |
| 9 | Noah Fant | TE | NO | +5.5 | 10.8 | 16.3 | 2 |
| 10 | George Kittle | TE | SF | +5.4 | 10.4 | 15.8 | 3 |
| 11 | Derrick Henry | RB | BAL | +5.3 | 19.7 | 25.0 | 3 |
| 12 | Mike Gesicki | TE | CIN | +5.1 | 10.7 | 15.8 | 2 |
| 13 | Kenyon Sadiq | TE | NYJ | +5.0 | 7.9 | 12.9 | 3 |
| 14 | Jakobi Meyers | WR | JAX | +4.8 | 7.0 | 11.8 | 3 |
| 15 | Christian Watson | WR | GB | +4.5 | 18.6 | 23.1 | 3 |
| 16 | Bijan Robinson | RB | ATL | +4.4 | 21.5 | 25.9 | 3 |
| 17 | Davante Adams | WR | LA | +4.3 | 17.6 | 21.9 | 3 |
| 18 | Denzel Boston | WR | CLE | +4.3 | 9.2 | 14.2 | 3 |
| 19 | Kalif Raymond | WR | CHI | +4.3 | 11.1 | 15.5 | 3 |
| 20 | Kyren Williams | RB | LA | +4.3 | 14.1 | 17.7 | 3 |
| 21 | Justin Jefferson | WR | MIN | +4.2 | 10.1 | 15.0 | 3 |
| 22 | Juwan Johnson | TE | NO | +4.2 | 12.6 | 16.1 | 3 |
| 23 | Nate Adkins | TE | DEN | +4.2 | 6.1 | 10.3 | 2 |
| 24 | Darren Waller | TE | CAR | +4.0 | 7.1 | 11.1 | 3 |
| 25 | Drake London | WR | ATL | +4.0 | 10.3 | 14.3 | 3 |
| 26 | Chuba Hubbard | RB | CAR | +3.8 | 13.9 | 17.7 | 3 |
| 27 | Jake Ferguson | TE | DAL | +3.8 | 7.6 | 10.7 | 3 |
| 28 | Jonah Coleman | RB | DEN | +3.8 | 11.0 | 14.8 | 1 |
| 29 | Jalen Coker | WR | CAR | +3.6 | 13.8 | 17.4 | 3 |
| 30 | Rashee Rice | WR | KC | +3.6 | 9.0 | 12.7 | 3 |
Ranked: players with at least 5 expected PPR points per game. 167 more players have fewer and aren't ranked. Covers weeks 1–3.
Scoring below their usage
| # | Player | Position | Team | Points vs expectedEst. | Expected points per gameEst. | Fantasy points per game (PPR) | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Emanuel Wilson | RB | SEA | −6.9 | 10.5 | 3.6 | 3 |
| 2 | Puka Nacua | WR | LA | −5.8 | 18.2 | 12.4 | 1 |
| 3 | J.K. Dobbins | RB | DEN | −5.6 | 10.1 | 4.5 | 3 |
| 4 | Xavier Hutchinson | WR | HOU | −5.5 | 12.6 | 7.1 | 3 |
| 5 | Ja'Kobi Lane | WR | BAL | −5.4 | 7.5 | 2.1 | 1 |
| 6 | Ryan Flournoy | WR | DAL | −5.4 | 10.6 | 5.2 | 3 |
| 7 | Tetairoa McMillan | WR | CAR | −5.3 | 15.8 | 9.8 | 3 |
| 8 | DK Metcalf | WR | PIT | −5.2 | 14.2 | 8.9 | 3 |
| 9 | Courtland Sutton | WR | DEN | −4.9 | 10.3 | 5.4 | 3 |
| 10 | Michael Wilson | WR | ARI | −4.9 | 18.4 | 13.4 | 3 |
| 11 | Quentin Johnston | WR | LAC | −4.8 | 9.2 | 4.4 | 3 |
| 12 | De'Von Achane | RB | MIA | −4.5 | 12.7 | 8.2 | 3 |
| 13 | George Pickens | WR | DAL | −4.5 | 14.9 | 10.3 | 3 |
| 14 | Kevin Coleman Jr. | WR | MIA | −4.3 | 5.0 | 0.7 | 2 |
| 15 | Jared Wayne | WR | HOU | −4.2 | 7.7 | 3.5 | 3 |
| 16 | Ashton Jeanty | RB | LV | −4.1 | 22.6 | 18.4 | 3 |
| 17 | Dyami Brown | WR | WAS | −4.1 | 6.2 | 1.4 | 3 |
| 18 | Terry McLaurin | WR | WAS | −4.0 | 14.0 | 10.0 | 3 |
| 19 | DeMario Douglas | WR | NE | −3.9 | 8.4 | 4.6 | 3 |
| 20 | KC Concepcion | WR | CLE | −3.8 | 10.8 | 6.3 | 3 |
| 21 | Kenny Gainwell | RB | TB | −3.8 | 7.2 | 3.4 | 3 |
| 22 | Malik Nabers | WR | NYG | −3.7 | 10.9 | 7.2 | 3 |
| 23 | Malik Washington | WR | MIA | −3.7 | 13.0 | 8.7 | 3 |
| 24 | Josh Downs | WR | IND | −3.6 | 14.4 | 10.9 | 3 |
| 25 | Khalil Shakir | WR | BUF | −3.6 | 9.0 | 5.8 | 3 |
| 26 | Rico Dowdle | RB | PIT | −3.5 | 8.7 | 5.3 | 2 |
| 27 | Skyy Moore | WR | GB | −3.4 | 6.3 | 2.9 | 3 |
| 28 | Alvin Kamara | RB | NO | −3.3 | 9.5 | 6.2 | 2 |
| 29 | Jayden Reed | WR | GB | −3.3 | 6.5 | 3.2 | 2 |
| 30 | Saquon Barkley | RB | PHI | −3.2 | 10.2 | 7.0 | 3 |