Rushing EPA per carry
+0.13
119 carries with EPA · nflverse
Mean expected points added on non-kneel, non-scramble rushing attempts with recorded EPA.
Running back · Pittsburgh Steelers
Jaylen Warren gets about 6 of every 10 Steelers runs (62%) and has had 36 passes thrown to him. He's had 15 chances within 20 yards of the end zone and is scoring 17.6 fantasy points a game (PPR).
2026 season · Weeks 1–9 · Report built
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Historical game data. Injury designations apply only to their stated report week; confirm current availability before setting a lineup.
Carry share
62%
about 6 of every 10 runs
Carries
119
Target share
13%
about 1 of every 10 passes
Targets
36
Red-zone chances
15
Goal-line runs
3
Expected points per gameEst.
14.7
Fantasy points per game (PPR)
17.6
Official rushing and receiving touchdowns: 3. The model estimates 2.7 touchdowns Est. from recorded targets and carries. Lateral scores can fall outside those model opportunities; return scores are excluded from this comparison.
+0.13
119 carries with EPA · nflverse
Mean expected points added on non-kneel, non-scramble rushing attempts with recorded EPA.
47.9%
57 of 119 carries with EPA · nflverse
Share of non-kneel, non-scramble carries with EPA above zero, among carries with recorded EPA.
12.6%
15 of 119 carries with yards · nflverse
Share of non-kneel, non-scramble carries gaining at least 10 yards, among carries with recorded yards.
15.1%
18 of 119 carries with yards · nflverse
Share of non-kneel, non-scramble carries gaining zero or fewer yards, among carries with recorded yards.
3
119 carries with field position · nflverse
Non-kneel, non-scramble carries starting at the opponent's five-yard line or closer.
−1.0 yds
36 targets with air yards · nflverse
Mean air yards on targeted passes with recorded air yards, including incomplete and intercepted passes.
0.0%
0 of 36 targets with air yards · nflverse
Share of targets at least 20 air yards downfield, among targets with recorded air yards.
0.0%
0 of 36 targets with depth and field position · nflverse
Share of targets reaching the goal line or beyond, among targets with recorded air yards and field position.
69.4%
25 of 36 targets with completion result · nflverse
Completed targeted passes divided by targets with a recorded completion result; not adjusted for target difficulty.
75.0%
27 of 36 targets with catchability charted · FTN Data via nflverse
Share of a receiver's joined charted targets marked catchable, among targets with a known catchability flag.
3.7%
1 of 27 catchable targets with drop charted · FTN Data via nflverse
Drops divided by joined charted targets marked catchable with a known drop flag; unknown charting is excluded.
14.3%
1 of 7 targets with progression read charted · FTN Data via nflverse
Share of a receiver's targets marked primary read (code 0) among known progression reads 0, 1 and 2. Checkdowns, designed targets and scramble drills are excluded; this is not team target share.
Updated Nov 9, 2026. Completed regular-season weeks only; samples can differ by metric.
Play-by-play: Weeks 1–8, 121 games. Games through Nov 2, 2026.
FTN charting: Weeks 1–8, 121 games (partial coverage). Charting pulled Nov 4, 2026. Excluded catchability/drop values on 16 contradictory charted plays. Other known charting remains available.
nflverse; calculations by Fantasy Football Outsiders (CC-BY-4.0).
| Week | Opponent | Carries | Carry share | Rushing yards | Targets | Target share | Red-zone chances | Fantasy points (PPR) | Expected pointsEst. | Points vs expectedEst. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ATL | 10 | 48% | 46 | 6 | 16% | 2 | 10.3 | 14.3 | −2.0 |
| 2 | NE | 11 | 48% | 43 | 4 | 11% | 0 | 9.7 | 10.9 | −1.2 |
| 3 | CIN | 17 | 74% | 127 | 4 | 13% | 3 | 20.6 | 14.6 | +6.0 |
| 4 | CLE | 17 | 89% | 93 | 6 | 15% | 2 | 15.6 | 17.2 | −1.6 |
| 5 | IND | 15 | 68% | 101 | 6 | 20% | 0 | 36.8 | 15.6 | +21.2 |
| 6 | TB | 14 | 64% | 50 | 4 | 9% | 1 | 9.8 | 13.8 | −4.0 |
| 7 | NO | 18 | 60% | 101 | 4 | 14% | 3 | 16.7 | 14.7 | +2.0 |
| 8 | CLE | 17 | 52% | 143 | 2 | 9% | 4 | 21.3 | 16.6 | +4.7 |
Running backs whose expected points per game Est. are closest to his. See their usage side by side.