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Usage comparison · Wide receivers

Josh Downs vs Justin Jefferson

Justin Jefferson gets more of his team's passes (26% vs 20%) and more of the deep throws (34% of its air yards vs 26%). In total, though, Josh Downs has more targets (46 vs 31). Josh Downs has played 7 games and Justin Jefferson 5 games. Near the end zone, Josh Downs has had more chances (6 vs 5 plays within 20 yards), but Justin Jefferson gets a bigger share of his team's chances there (16% vs 10%). Justin Jefferson is scoring more fantasy points a game (14.4 vs 8.2, PPR), but the chances Josh Downs gets usually score more: 11.4 vs 11.1 expected points a game Est..

2026 season · Weeks 1–7 · Updated Oct 27, 2026

WRIND

Josh Downs
Fantasy points per game (PPR)
8.2
Expected points per gameEst.
11.4

7 games with a target, carry or dropback

WRMIN

Justin Jefferson
Fantasy points per game (PPR)
14.4
Expected points per gameEst.
11.1

5 games with a target, carry or dropback

Side by side

Season totals through week 7. Shares are of each player's team totals in the games he played. For counts and shares, the bigger number is in bold and the bars grow from the centre line.
Josh Downs and Justin Jefferson, season usage side by side
StatJosh DownsJustin Jefferson
Games75
Passes thrown to him
Targets4631
Target share20%26%
Air-yards share26%34%
Catches2623
Receiving yards307302
Near the end zone
Red-zone chances65
Red-zone share10%16%
End-zone targets03
Touchdowns
Touchdowns03
Expected touchdownsEst.2.01.4
Fantasy points
Fantasy points per game (PPR)8.214.4
Fantasy points (PPR)57.472.1
Expected points per gameEst.11.411.1
Points vs expectedEst.−3.2+3.0

Week by week

Each bar is one game. Pick a stat to compare.

Target share by week

Out of all the passes his team threw in his games, the part thrown to him.

  • Josh Downs
  • Justin Jefferson

— no game with a target, carry or dropback that week.

Target share by week
WeekJosh DownsJustin Jefferson
114%against BAL39%against GB
230%against KC32%against CHI
331%against HOU8%against TB
414%against WAS— no game with a target, carry or dropback
514%against PIT24%against NO
621%against TEN— no game with a target, carry or dropback
719%against MIN29%against IND

Next to each number: that week's opponent. — no game with a target, carry or dropback that week.

Where they rank

Each player's place among players at his position who meet the leaderboard's minimum. Open a leaderboard for the full list.
Leaderboard ranks for Josh Downs and Justin Jefferson
LeaderboardJosh DownsJustin Jefferson
Target share leaders#35of 117 wide receivers#16of 117 wide receivers
Air-yards share leaders#41of 117 wide receivers#21of 117 wide receivers
Red-zone share leaders#35of 85 wide receivers#8of 85 wide receivers
Red-zone opportunity leaders#29of 191 wide receivers#38of 191 wide receivers
End-zone target leaders#151of 191 wide receivers#39of 191 wide receivers
Expected fantasy points leadersEst.#34of 191 wide receivers#36of 191 wide receivers

Talking points

Fact-checked notes from the weekly usage report, with the numbers behind them.

Josh Downs

Touchdowns below usage

Josh Downs has scored 0 touchdowns on opportunities that usually produce 2.0, per FFO's expected-points model.

Touchdowns
0
Expected touchdownsEst.
2.0
Expected PPR per gameEst.
11.4
PPR vs expected, per gameEst.
−3.2

Weeks 1–7 · 7 games

  • Model estimate, not a forecast: v1 predicts about as well as raw points.

Justin Jefferson

Touchdowns above usage

Justin Jefferson has scored 3 touchdowns on opportunities that usually produce 1.4, per FFO's expected-points model.

Touchdowns
3
Expected touchdownsEst.
1.4
Expected PPR per gameEst.
11.1
PPR vs expected, per gameEst.
+3.0

Weeks 1–3, 5 and 7 · 5 games

  • Model estimate, not a forecast: v1 predicts about as well as raw points.

Keep exploring

Josh Downs

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Justin Jefferson

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