Fantasy FootballOutsiders

Usage comparison · Wide receivers

A.J. Brown vs Josh Downs

A.J. Brown gets more of his team's passes (23% vs 21%), while Josh Downs gets more of the deep throws (26% of his team's air yards vs 24%). In total, though, Josh Downs has more targets (42 vs 14). A.J. Brown has played 2 games and Josh Downs 6 games. Near the end zone, Josh Downs has had more chances (6 vs 3 plays within 20 yards), but A.J. Brown gets a bigger share of his team's chances there (19% vs 11%). Josh Downs is scoring more fantasy points a game (8.9 vs 5.7, PPR), and his chances usually score more too: 12.2 vs 11.9 expected points a game Est..

2026 season · Weeks 1–6 · Updated Oct 19, 2026

WRNE

A.J. Brown
Fantasy points per game (PPR)
5.7
Expected points per gameEst.
11.9

2 games with a target, carry or dropback

Week 6 injury report: Questionable (Ankle)

WRIND

Josh Downs
Fantasy points per game (PPR)
8.9
Expected points per gameEst.
12.2

6 games with a target, carry or dropback

Side by side

Season totals through week 5. Shares are of each player's team totals in the games he played. For counts and shares, the bigger number is in bold and the bars grow from the centre line.
A.J. Brown and Josh Downs, season usage side by side
StatA.J. BrownJosh Downs
Games26
Passes thrown to him
Targets1442
Target share23%21%
Air-yards share24%26%
Catches624
Receiving yards53289
Near the end zone
Red-zone chances36
Red-zone share19%11%
End-zone targets10
Touchdowns
Touchdowns00
Expected touchdownsEst.0.81.9
Fantasy points
Fantasy points per game (PPR)5.78.9
Fantasy points (PPR)11.353.6
Expected points per gameEst.11.912.2
Points vs expectedEst.−6.3−3.3

Week by week

Each bar is one game. Pick a stat to compare.

Target share by week

Out of all the passes his team threw in his games, the part thrown to him.

  • A.J. Brown
  • Josh Downs

— no game with a target, carry or dropback that week.

Target share by week
WeekA.J. BrownJosh Downs
113%against SEA14%against BAL
2— no game with a target, carry or dropback30%against KC
3— no game with a target, carry or dropback31%against HOU
4— no game with a target, carry or dropback14%against WAS
5— no game with a target, carry or dropback14%against PIT
633%against NYJ21%against TEN

Next to each number: that week's opponent. — no game with a target, carry or dropback that week.

Where they rank

Each player's place among players at his position who meet the leaderboard's minimum. Open a leaderboard for the full list.
Leaderboard ranks for A.J. Brown and Josh Downs
LeaderboardA.J. BrownJosh Downs
Target share leaders#26of 109 wide receivers#35of 109 wide receivers
Air-yards share leaders#47of 109 wide receivers#44of 109 wide receivers
Red-zone share leaders#4of 74 wide receivers#31of 74 wide receivers
Red-zone opportunity leaders#54of 187 wide receivers#24of 187 wide receivers
End-zone target leaders#66of 187 wide receivers#148of 187 wide receivers
Expected fantasy points leadersEst.#36of 187 wide receivers#34of 187 wide receivers

Talking points

Fact-checked notes from the weekly usage report, with the numbers behind them.

A.J. Brown

Role up

A.J. Brown's target share rose to 33% in week 6 (10 targets), from 13% in week 1.

Target share, week 6
33%
Targets, week 6
10
Target share, week 1
13%
Targets, week 1
4

Weeks 1 and 6 · 2 games

  • Share of team targets/carries in games he played. Snap counts aren't in FFO's licensed data, so a low earlier share can mean limited playing time.

Josh Downs

Touchdowns below usage

Josh Downs has scored 0 touchdowns on opportunities that usually produce 1.9, per FFO's expected-points model.

Touchdowns
0
Expected touchdownsEst.
1.9
Expected PPR per gameEst.
12.2
PPR vs expected, per gameEst.
−3.3

Weeks 1–6 · 6 games

  • Model estimate, not a forecast: v1 predicts about as well as raw points.

Keep exploring

A.J. Brown

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Josh Downs

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