Usage comparison · Wide receivers

Jaxon Smith-Njigba vs Michael Wilson

Jaxon Smith-Njigba gets more of his team's passes (37% vs 30%) and more of the deep throws (50% of its air yards vs 44%). In total, though, Michael Wilson has more targets (44 vs 42). Near the end zone, Jaxon Smith-Njigba has had more chances (10 vs 9 plays within 20 yards) and a bigger share of his team's chances there (21% vs 19%). Jaxon Smith-Njigba is scoring more fantasy points a game (29.2 vs 14.2, PPR), but the chances Michael Wilson gets usually score more: 20.8 vs 19.5 expected points a game Est..

2026 season · Weeks 1–4 · Updated Oct 5, 2026

WRSEA

Jaxon Smith-Njigba
Fantasy points per game (PPR)
29.2
Expected points per gameEst.
19.5

4 games with a target, carry or dropback

WRARI

Michael Wilson
Fantasy points per game (PPR)
14.2
Expected points per gameEst.
20.8

4 games with a target, carry or dropback

Side by side

Season totals through week 3. Shares are of each player's team totals in the games he played. For counts and shares, the bigger number is in bold and the bars grow from the centre line.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba and Michael Wilson, season usage side by side
StatJaxon Smith-NjigbaMichael Wilson
Games44
Passes thrown to him
Targets4244
Target share37%30%
Air-yards share50%44%
Catches3225
Receiving yards481258
Near the end zone
Red-zone chances109
Red-zone share21%19%
End-zone targets66
Touchdowns
Touchdowns61
Expected touchdownsEst.3.23.5
Fantasy points
Fantasy points per game (PPR)29.214.2
Fantasy points (PPR)116.756.8
Expected points per gameEst.19.520.8
Points vs expectedEst.+9.6−6.6

Week by week

Each bar is one game. Pick a stat to compare.

Target share by week

Out of all the passes his team threw in his games, the part thrown to him.

  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba
  • Michael Wilson
Target share by week
WeekJaxon Smith-NjigbaMichael Wilson
146%against NE19%against LAC
242%against ARI27%against SEA
331%against WAS34%against SF
430%against LAC37%against NYG

Next to each number: that week's opponent.

Where they rank

Each player's place among players at his position who meet the leaderboard's minimum. Open a leaderboard for the full list.
Leaderboard ranks for Jaxon Smith-Njigba and Michael Wilson
LeaderboardJaxon Smith-NjigbaMichael Wilson
Target share leaders#1of 96 wide receivers#5of 96 wide receivers
Air-yards share leaders#3of 96 wide receivers#8of 96 wide receivers
Red-zone share leaders#4of 47 wide receivers#8of 47 wide receivers
Red-zone opportunity leaders#2of 174 wide receivers#3of 174 wide receivers
End-zone target leaders#1of 174 wide receivers#2of 174 wide receivers
Expected fantasy points leadersEst.#6of 174 wide receivers#4of 174 wide receivers

Talking points

Fact-checked notes from the weekly usage report, with the numbers behind them.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Touchdowns above usage

Jaxon Smith-Njigba has scored 6 touchdowns on opportunities that usually produce 3.2, per FFO's expected-points model.

Touchdowns
6
Expected touchdownsEst.
3.2
Expected PPR per gameEst.
19.5
PPR vs expected, per gameEst.
+9.6

Weeks 1–4 · 4 games

  • Model estimate, not a forecast: v1 predicts about as well as raw points.

Michael Wilson

Volume, not production

Michael Wilson has 44% of ARI's air yards but is scoring 6.6 PPR points a game below what that usage usually produces.

Air-yards share
44%
Targets
44
PPR vs expected, per gameEst.
−6.6

Weeks 1–4 · 4 games

Touchdowns below usage

Michael Wilson has scored 1 touchdown on opportunities that usually produce 3.5, per FFO's expected-points model.

Touchdowns
1
Expected touchdownsEst.
3.5
Expected PPR per gameEst.
20.8
PPR vs expected, per gameEst.
−6.6

Weeks 1–4 · 4 games

  • Model estimate, not a forecast: v1 predicts about as well as raw points.

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