Fantasy FootballOutsiders

Usage comparison · Wide receivers

Amon-Ra St. Brown vs Michael Wilson

Michael Wilson gets more of his team's passes (30% vs 29%) and more of the deep throws (44% of its air yards vs 30%). In total, though, Amon-Ra St. Brown has more targets (46 vs 44). Near the end zone, Amon-Ra St. Brown has had more chances (12 vs 9 plays within 20 yards) and a bigger share of his team's chances there (21% vs 19%). Amon-Ra St. Brown is scoring more fantasy points a game (22.8 vs 14.2, PPR), and his chances usually score more too: 21.2 vs 20.8 expected points a game Est..

2026 season · Weeks 1–4 · Updated Oct 5, 2026

WRDET

Amon-Ra St. Brown
Fantasy points per game (PPR)
22.8
Expected points per gameEst.
21.2

4 games with a target, carry or dropback

WRARI

Michael Wilson
Fantasy points per game (PPR)
14.2
Expected points per gameEst.
20.8

4 games with a target, carry or dropback

Side by side

Season totals through week 3. Shares are of each player's team totals in the games he played. For counts and shares, the bigger number is in bold and the bars grow from the centre line.
Amon-Ra St. Brown and Michael Wilson, season usage side by side
StatAmon-Ra St. BrownMichael Wilson
Games44
Passes thrown to him
Targets4644
Target share29%30%
Air-yards share30%44%
Catches3125
Receiving yards303258
Near the end zone
Red-zone chances129
Red-zone share21%19%
End-zone targets36
Touchdowns
Touchdowns51
Expected touchdownsEst.3.23.5
Fantasy points
Fantasy points per game (PPR)22.814.2
Fantasy points (PPR)91.356.8
Expected points per gameEst.21.220.8
Points vs expectedEst.+1.6−6.6

Week by week

Each bar is one game. Pick a stat to compare.

Target share by week

Out of all the passes his team threw in his games, the part thrown to him.

  • Amon-Ra St. Brown
  • Michael Wilson
Target share by week
WeekAmon-Ra St. BrownMichael Wilson
136%against NO19%against LAC
234%against BUF27%against SEA
326%against NYJ34%against SF
422%against CAR37%against NYG

Next to each number: that week's opponent.

Where they rank

Each player's place among players at his position who meet the leaderboard's minimum. Open a leaderboard for the full list.
Leaderboard ranks for Amon-Ra St. Brown and Michael Wilson
LeaderboardAmon-Ra St. BrownMichael Wilson
Target share leaders#8of 96 wide receivers#5of 96 wide receivers
Air-yards share leaders#32of 96 wide receivers#8of 96 wide receivers
Red-zone share leaders#2of 47 wide receivers#8of 47 wide receivers
Red-zone opportunity leaders#1of 174 wide receivers#3of 174 wide receivers
End-zone target leaders#7of 174 wide receivers#2of 174 wide receivers
Expected fantasy points leadersEst.#2of 174 wide receivers#4of 174 wide receivers

Talking points

Fact-checked notes from the weekly usage report, with the numbers behind them.

Amon-Ra St. Brown

Touchdowns above usage

Amon-Ra St. Brown has scored 5 touchdowns on opportunities that usually produce 3.2, per FFO's expected-points model.

Touchdowns
5
Expected touchdownsEst.
3.2
Expected PPR per gameEst.
21.2
PPR vs expected, per gameEst.
+1.6

Weeks 1–4 · 4 games

  • Model estimate, not a forecast: v1 predicts about as well as raw points.

Role down

Amon-Ra St. Brown's target share fell to 22% in week 4 (11 targets), from 32% in weeks 1-3.

Target share, week 4
22%
Targets, week 4
11
Target share, weeks 1–3
32%
Targets, weeks 1–3
35

Weeks 1–4 · 4 games

  • Share of team targets/carries in games he played. Snap counts aren't in FFO's licensed data, so a low earlier share can mean limited playing time.

Michael Wilson

Volume, not production

Michael Wilson has 44% of ARI's air yards but is scoring 6.6 PPR points a game below what that usage usually produces.

Air-yards share
44%
Targets
44
PPR vs expected, per gameEst.
−6.6

Weeks 1–4 · 4 games

Touchdowns below usage

Michael Wilson has scored 1 touchdown on opportunities that usually produce 3.5, per FFO's expected-points model.

Touchdowns
1
Expected touchdownsEst.
3.5
Expected PPR per gameEst.
20.8
PPR vs expected, per gameEst.
−6.6

Weeks 1–4 · 4 games

  • Model estimate, not a forecast: v1 predicts about as well as raw points.

Keep exploring

Amon-Ra St. Brown

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Michael Wilson

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