Fantasy FootballOutsiders

Usage comparison · Running backs

Derrick Henry vs Kyren Williams

Derrick Henry gets more of his team's runs (70% vs 51%), while Kyren Williams gets more of his team's passes (16% vs 7%). Near the end zone, Derrick Henry has had more chances (23 vs 15 plays within 20 yards) and a bigger share of his team's chances there (55% vs 42%). Derrick Henry is scoring more fantasy points a game (22.7 vs 22.4, PPR), and his chances usually score more too: 19.0 vs 18.5 expected points a game Est..

2026 season · Weeks 1–4 · Updated Oct 5, 2026

RBBAL

Derrick Henry
Fantasy points per game (PPR)
22.7
Expected points per gameEst.
19.0

4 games with a target, carry or dropback

RBLA

Kyren Williams
Fantasy points per game (PPR)
22.4
Expected points per gameEst.
18.5

4 games with a target, carry or dropback

Side by side

Season totals through week 3. Shares are of each player's team totals in the games he played. For counts and shares, the bigger number is in bold and the bars grow from the centre line.
Derrick Henry and Kyren Williams, season usage side by side
StatDerrick HenryKyren Williams
Games44
Passes thrown to him
Targets725
Target share7%16%
Catches721
Receiving yards44173
Runs
Carries8954
Carry share70%51%
Rushing yards374294
Near the end zone
Red-zone chances2315
Red-zone share55%42%
Goal-line runs113
End-zone targets00
Touchdowns
Touchdowns74
Expected touchdownsEst.5.22.9
Fantasy points
Fantasy points per game (PPR)22.722.4
Fantasy points (PPR)90.889.7
Expected points per gameEst.19.018.5
Points vs expectedEst.+3.7+4.4

Week by week

Each bar is one game. Pick a stat to compare.

Carry share by week

Out of all his team's runs in his games, the part he got.

  • Derrick Henry
  • Kyren Williams
Carry share by week
WeekDerrick HenryKyren Williams
165%against IND38%against SF
273%against NO43%against NYG
368%against DAL65%against DEN
477%against TEN64%against PHI

Next to each number: that week's opponent.

Where they rank

Each player's place among players at his position who meet the leaderboard's minimum. Open a leaderboard for the full list.
Leaderboard ranks for Derrick Henry and Kyren Williams
LeaderboardDerrick HenryKyren Williams
Carry share leaders#4of 66 running backs#22of 66 running backs
Target share leadersBelow the minimum (at least 10 targets in at least 2 games)#7of 28 running backs
Red-zone share leaders#2of 55 running backs#10of 55 running backs
Red-zone opportunity leaders#3of 108 running backs#12of 108 running backs
Goal-line carry leaders#1of 108 running backs#21of 108 running backs
Expected fantasy points leadersEst.#8of 108 running backs#9of 108 running backs

Talking points

Fact-checked notes from the weekly usage report, with the numbers behind them.

Derrick Henry

Red-zone role

Derrick Henry has 23 of BAL's 42 red-zone opportunities (55%), including 11 carries inside the 5.

Red-zone opportunities
23
Team red-zone opportunities
42
Red-zone share
55%
Carries inside the 5
11

Weeks 1–4 · 4 games

Touchdowns above usage

Derrick Henry has scored 7 touchdowns on opportunities that usually produce 5.2, per FFO's expected-points model.

Touchdowns
7
Expected touchdownsEst.
5.2
Expected PPR per gameEst.
19.0
PPR vs expected, per gameEst.
+3.7

Weeks 1–4 · 4 games

  • Model estimate, not a forecast: v1 predicts about as well as raw points.

Kyren Williams

Role up

Kyren Williams's target share rose to 26% in week 4 (13 targets), from 11% in weeks 1-3.

Target share, week 4
26%
Targets, week 4
13
Target share, weeks 1–3
11%
Targets, weeks 1–3
12

Weeks 1–4 · 4 games

  • Share of team targets/carries in games he played. Snap counts aren't in FFO's licensed data, so a low earlier share can mean limited playing time.

Red-zone role

Kyren Williams has 15 of LA's 36 red-zone opportunities (42%), including 3 carries inside the 5.

Red-zone opportunities
15
Team red-zone opportunities
36
Red-zone share
42%
Carries inside the 5
3

Weeks 1–4 · 4 games

Keep exploring

Derrick Henry

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Kyren Williams

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