Fantasy FootballOutsiders

Usage comparison · Wide receivers

Christian Watson vs Michael Wilson

Michael Wilson gets more of his team's passes (27% vs 24%) and more of the deep throws (41% of its air yards vs 28%). Near the end zone, Christian Watson has had more chances (6 vs 5 plays within 20 yards) and a bigger share of his team's chances there (21% vs 14%). Christian Watson is scoring more fantasy points a game (23.1 vs 13.4, PPR), and his chances usually score more too: 18.6 vs 18.4 expected points a game Est..

2026 season · Weeks 1–3 · Updated Sep 29, 2026

WRGB

Christian Watson
Fantasy points per game (PPR)
23.1
Expected points per gameEst.
18.6

3 games with a target, carry or dropback

WRARI

Michael Wilson
Fantasy points per game (PPR)
13.4
Expected points per gameEst.
18.4

3 games with a target, carry or dropback

Side by side

Season totals through week 3. Shares are of each player's team totals in the games he played. For counts and shares, the bigger number is in bold and the bars grow from the centre line.
Christian Watson and Michael Wilson, season usage side by side
StatChristian WatsonMichael Wilson
Games33
Passes thrown to him
Targets2931
Target share24%27%
Air-yards share28%41%
Catches1718
Receiving yards284163
Near the end zone
Red-zone chances65
Red-zone share21%14%
End-zone targets44
Touchdowns
Touchdowns41
Expected touchdownsEst.2.41.8
Fantasy points
Fantasy points per game (PPR)23.113.4
Fantasy points (PPR)69.440.3
Expected points per gameEst.18.618.4
Points vs expectedEst.+4.5−4.9

Week by week

Each bar is one game. Pick a stat to compare.

Target share by week

Out of all the passes his team threw in his games, the part thrown to him.

  • Christian Watson
  • Michael Wilson
Target share by week
WeekChristian WatsonMichael Wilson
120%against MIN19%against LAC
238%against NYJ27%against SEA
320%against ATL34%against SF

Next to each number: that week's opponent.

Where they rank

Each player's place among players at his position who meet the leaderboard's minimum. Open a leaderboard for the full list.
Leaderboard ranks for Christian Watson and Michael Wilson
LeaderboardChristian WatsonMichael Wilson
Target share leaders#22of 74 wide receivers#7of 74 wide receivers
Air-yards share leaders#34of 74 wide receivers#11of 74 wide receivers
Red-zone share leaders#5of 35 wide receivers#16of 35 wide receivers
Red-zone opportunity leaders#4of 166 wide receivers#8of 166 wide receivers
End-zone target leaders#2of 166 wide receivers#3of 166 wide receivers
Expected fantasy points leadersEst.#5of 166 wide receivers#6of 166 wide receivers

Talking points

Fact-checked notes from the weekly usage report, with the numbers behind them.

Christian Watson

Touchdowns above usage

Christian Watson has scored 4 touchdowns on opportunities that usually produce 2.4, per FFO's expected-points model.

Touchdowns
4
Expected touchdownsEst.
2.4
Expected PPR per gameEst.
18.6
PPR vs expected, per gameEst.
+4.5

Weeks 1–3 · 3 games

  • Model estimate, not a forecast: v1 predicts about as well as raw points.

Michael Wilson

Volume, not production

Michael Wilson has 41% of ARI's air yards but is scoring 4.9 PPR points a game below what that usage usually produces.

Air-yards share
41%
Targets
31
PPR vs expected, per gameEst.
−4.9

Weeks 1–3 · 3 games

Role up

Michael Wilson's target share rose to 34% in week 3 (17 targets), from 22% in weeks 1-2.

Target share, week 3
34%
Targets, week 3
17
Target share, weeks 1–2
22%
Targets, weeks 1–2
14

Weeks 1–3 · 3 games

  • Share of team targets/carries in games he played. Snap counts aren't in FFO's licensed data, so a low earlier share can mean limited playing time.

Keep exploring

Christian Watson

More comparisons

Michael Wilson

More comparisons

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