Rushing EPA per carry
−0.04
143 carries with EPA · nflverse
Mean expected points added on non-kneel, non-scramble rushing attempts with recorded EPA.
Running back · Chicago Bears
D'Andre Swift gets about half the Bears runs (51%) and has had 29 passes thrown to him. He's had 41 chances within 20 yards of the end zone and is scoring 17.1 fantasy points a game (PPR).
2026 season · Weeks 1–9 · Report built
Showing the saved fallback report. The latest report could not be confirmed; use the coverage and build date shown here.
Historical game data. Injury designations apply only to their stated report week; confirm current availability before setting a lineup.
Carry share
51%
about half runs
Carries
155
Target share
10%
1 of every 10 passes
Targets
29
Red-zone chances
41
Goal-line runs
19
Expected points per gameEst.
18.0
Fantasy points per game (PPR)
17.1
Official rushing and receiving touchdowns: 10. The model estimates 10.2 touchdowns Est. from recorded targets and carries. Lateral scores can fall outside those model opportunities; return scores are excluded from this comparison.
−0.04
143 carries with EPA · nflverse
Mean expected points added on non-kneel, non-scramble rushing attempts with recorded EPA.
44.8%
64 of 143 carries with EPA · nflverse
Share of non-kneel, non-scramble carries with EPA above zero, among carries with recorded EPA.
7.0%
10 of 143 carries with yards · nflverse
Share of non-kneel, non-scramble carries gaining at least 10 yards, among carries with recorded yards.
16.8%
24 of 143 carries with yards · nflverse
Share of non-kneel, non-scramble carries gaining zero or fewer yards, among carries with recorded yards.
19
143 carries with field position · nflverse
Non-kneel, non-scramble carries starting at the opponent's five-yard line or closer.
−1.5 yds
28 targets with air yards · nflverse
Mean air yards on targeted passes with recorded air yards, including incomplete and intercepted passes.
0.0%
0 of 28 targets with air yards · nflverse
Share of targets at least 20 air yards downfield, among targets with recorded air yards.
0.0%
0 of 28 targets with depth and field position · nflverse
Share of targets reaching the goal line or beyond, among targets with recorded air yards and field position.
85.7%
24 of 28 targets with completion result · nflverse
Completed targeted passes divided by targets with a recorded completion result; not adjusted for target difficulty.
89.3%
25 of 28 targets with catchability charted · FTN Data via nflverse
Share of a receiver's joined charted targets marked catchable, among targets with a known catchability flag.
0.0%
0 of 25 catchable targets with drop charted · FTN Data via nflverse
Drops divided by joined charted targets marked catchable with a known drop flag; unknown charting is excluded.
0.0%
0 of 1 targets with progression read charted · FTN Data via nflverse
Share of a receiver's targets marked primary read (code 0) among known progression reads 0, 1 and 2. Checkdowns, designed targets and scramble drills are excluded; this is not team target share.
Updated Nov 9, 2026. Completed regular-season weeks only; samples can differ by metric.
Play-by-play: Weeks 1–8, 121 games. Games through Nov 2, 2026.
FTN charting: Weeks 1–8, 121 games (partial coverage). Charting pulled Nov 4, 2026. Excluded catchability/drop values on 16 contradictory charted plays. Other known charting remains available.
nflverse; calculations by Fantasy Football Outsiders (CC-BY-4.0).
| Week | Opponent | Carries | Carry share | Rushing yards | Targets | Target share | Red-zone chances | Fantasy points (PPR) | Expected pointsEst. | Points vs expectedEst. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CAR | 18 | 46% | 124 | 1 | 4% | 6 | 32.4 | 18.0 | +14.4 |
| 2 | MIN | 16 | 52% | 45 | 5 | 17% | 3 | 12.9 | 18.5 | −3.6 |
| 3 | PHI | 20 | 57% | 84 | 3 | 9% | 6 | 10.8 | 19.8 | −9.0 |
| 4 | NYJ | 15 | 28% | 58 | 2 | 6% | 5 | 7.4 | 14.9 | −5.5 |
| 5 | GB | 9 | 38% | 43 | 5 | 13% | 2 | 17.3 | 17.1 | +0.2 |
| 6 | ATL | 16 | 48% | 44 | 5 | 15% | 6 | 23.0 | 20.5 | +2.5 |
| 7 | NE | 22 | 73% | 78 | 4 | 13% | 2 | 19.0 | 17.8 | +1.2 |
| 8 | SEA | 27 | 77% | 69 | 3 | 9% | 8 | 27.9 | 27.2 | +0.7 |
| 9 | TB | 12 | 55% | 31 | 1 | 3% | 3 | 3.1 | 8.5 | −5.4 |
Running backs whose expected points per game Est. are closest to his. See their usage side by side.