Rushing EPA per carry
+0.14
84 carries with EPA · nflverse
Mean expected points added on non-kneel, non-scramble rushing attempts with recorded EPA.
Running back · San Francisco 49ers
Christian McCaffrey gets about 4 of every 10 49ers runs (44%) and has had 45 passes thrown to him. He's had 32 chances within 20 yards of the end zone and is scoring 20.8 fantasy points a game (PPR).
2026 season · Weeks 1–9 · Report built
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Historical game data. Injury designations apply only to their stated report week; confirm current availability before setting a lineup.
Carry share
44%
about 4 of every 10 runs
Carries
102
Target share
20%
2 of every 10 passes
Targets
45
Red-zone chances
32
Goal-line runs
14
Expected points per gameEst.
19.6
Fantasy points per game (PPR)
20.8
Official rushing and receiving touchdowns: 10. The model estimates 9.1 touchdowns Est. from recorded targets and carries. Lateral scores can fall outside those model opportunities; return scores are excluded from this comparison.
+0.14
84 carries with EPA · nflverse
Mean expected points added on non-kneel, non-scramble rushing attempts with recorded EPA.
53.6%
45 of 84 carries with EPA · nflverse
Share of non-kneel, non-scramble carries with EPA above zero, among carries with recorded EPA.
13.1%
11 of 84 carries with yards · nflverse
Share of non-kneel, non-scramble carries gaining at least 10 yards, among carries with recorded yards.
10.7%
9 of 84 carries with yards · nflverse
Share of non-kneel, non-scramble carries gaining zero or fewer yards, among carries with recorded yards.
12
84 carries with field position · nflverse
Non-kneel, non-scramble carries starting at the opponent's five-yard line or closer.
2.5 yds
42 targets with air yards · nflverse
Mean air yards on targeted passes with recorded air yards, including incomplete and intercepted passes.
0.0%
0 of 42 targets with air yards · nflverse
Share of targets at least 20 air yards downfield, among targets with recorded air yards.
0.0%
0 of 42 targets with depth and field position · nflverse
Share of targets reaching the goal line or beyond, among targets with recorded air yards and field position.
81.0%
34 of 42 targets with completion result · nflverse
Completed targeted passes divided by targets with a recorded completion result; not adjusted for target difficulty.
88.1%
37 of 42 targets with catchability charted · FTN Data via nflverse
Share of a receiver's joined charted targets marked catchable, among targets with a known catchability flag.
0.0%
0 of 37 catchable targets with drop charted · FTN Data via nflverse
Drops divided by joined charted targets marked catchable with a known drop flag; unknown charting is excluded.
0.0%
0 of 24 targets with progression read charted · FTN Data via nflverse
Share of a receiver's targets marked primary read (code 0) among known progression reads 0, 1 and 2. Checkdowns, designed targets and scramble drills are excluded; this is not team target share.
Updated Nov 9, 2026. Completed regular-season weeks only; samples can differ by metric.
Play-by-play: Weeks 1–8, 121 games. Games through Nov 2, 2026.
FTN charting: Weeks 1–8, 121 games (partial coverage). Charting pulled Nov 4, 2026. Excluded catchability/drop values on 16 contradictory charted plays. Other known charting remains available.
nflverse; calculations by Fantasy Football Outsiders (CC-BY-4.0).
| Week | Opponent | Carries | Carry share | Rushing yards | Targets | Target share | Red-zone chances | Fantasy points (PPR) | Expected pointsEst. | Points vs expectedEst. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LA | 10 | 33% | 68 | 8 | 24% | 2 | 13.8 | 16.7 | −2.9 |
| 2 | MIA | 10 | 37% | 23 | 4 | 19% | 6 | 22.6 | 21.0 | +1.6 |
| 3 | ARI | 15 | 65% | 75 | 5 | 19% | 3 | 21.6 | 18.1 | +3.5 |
| 4 | DEN | 15 | 43% | 52 | 5 | 17% | 4 | 16.0 | 23.2 | −7.2 |
| 5 | SEA | 11 | 46% | 68 | 3 | 11% | 2 | 17.3 | 9.9 | +7.4 |
| 6 | WAS | 16 | 55% | 64 | 10 | 34% | 7 | 30.7 | 29.7 | +3.0 |
| 7 | ATL | 7 | 30% | 39 | 7 | 18% | 2 | 22.0 | 18.0 | +4.0 |
| 9 | LV | 18 | 42% | 68 | 3 | 13% | 6 | 22.7 | 20.1 | +2.6 |
Running backs whose expected points per game Est. are closest to his. See their usage side by side.