Rushing EPA per carry
−0.13
57 carries with EPA · nflverse
Mean expected points added on non-kneel, non-scramble rushing attempts with recorded EPA.
Running back · San Francisco 49ers · Rookie
Kaelon Black
Kaelon Black gets about 3 of every 10 49ers runs (29%) and has had 6 passes thrown to him. He's had 12 chances within 20 yards of the end zone and is scoring 4.7 fantasy points a game (PPR).
2026 season · Weeks 1–9 · Report built
Showing the saved fallback report. The latest report could not be confirmed; use the coverage and build date shown here.
Historical game data. Injury designations apply only to their stated report week; confirm current availability before setting a lineup.
Season usage
8 games with a target, carry or dropback. Shares use those offensive-usage games. Fantasy averages use 8 recorded NFL weekly-stat appearances, including games without offensive touches.
Carry share
29%
about 3 of every 10 runs
Carries
68
Target share
3%
fewer than 1 in 10 passes
Targets
6
Red-zone chances
12
Goal-line runs
3
Expected points per gameEst.
6.3
Fantasy points per game (PPR)
4.7
Official rushing and receiving touchdowns: 1. The model estimates 2.3 touchdowns Est. from recorded targets and carries. Lateral scores can fall outside those model opportunities; return scores are excluded from this comparison.
Opportunity and performance
See the role, target quality and results behind the season totals. Every metric uses the sample shown.
Rushing success rate
45.6%
26 of 57 carries with EPA · nflverse
Share of non-kneel, non-scramble carries with EPA above zero, among carries with recorded EPA.
Explosive rush rate
7.0%
4 of 57 carries with yards · nflverse
Share of non-kneel, non-scramble carries gaining at least 10 yards, among carries with recorded yards.
Stuffed rush rate
21.1%
12 of 57 carries with yards · nflverse
Share of non-kneel, non-scramble carries gaining zero or fewer yards, among carries with recorded yards.
Carries inside the five
3
57 carries with field position · nflverse
Non-kneel, non-scramble carries starting at the opponent's five-yard line or closer.
Average depth of target
−2.0 yds
6 targets with air yards · nflverse
Mean air yards on targeted passes with recorded air yards, including incomplete and intercepted passes.
Deep target rate
0.0%
0 of 6 targets with air yards · nflverse
Share of targets at least 20 air yards downfield, among targets with recorded air yards.
End-zone target rate
0.0%
0 of 6 targets with depth and field position · nflverse
Share of targets reaching the goal line or beyond, among targets with recorded air yards and field position.
Catch rate
50.0%
3 of 6 targets with completion result · nflverse
Completed targeted passes divided by targets with a recorded completion result; not adjusted for target difficulty.
Catchable-target rate
66.7%
4 of 6 targets with catchability charted · FTN Data via nflverse
Share of a receiver's joined charted targets marked catchable, among targets with a known catchability flag.
Drop rate on catchable targets
0.0%
0 of 4 catchable targets with drop charted · FTN Data via nflverse
Drops divided by joined charted targets marked catchable with a known drop flag; unknown charting is excluded.
Primary-read target rate
—
No eligible sample in this report · FTN Data via nflverse
Share of a receiver's targets marked primary read (code 0) among known progression reads 0, 1 and 2. Checkdowns, designed targets and scramble drills are excluded; this is not team target share.
Updated Nov 9, 2026. Completed regular-season weeks only; samples can differ by metric.
Play-by-play: Weeks 1–8, 121 games. Games through Nov 2, 2026.
FTN charting: Weeks 1–8, 121 games (partial coverage). Charting pulled Nov 4, 2026. Excluded catchability/drop values on 16 contradictory charted plays. Other known charting remains available.
nflverse; calculations by Fantasy Football Outsiders (CC-BY-4.0).
Carry share by week
Week by week
Official weekly-stat appearances, including games with scoring but no recorded offensive usage. A dash means no usage or model value is available for that game.
| Week | Opponent | Carries | Carry share | Rushing yards | Targets | Target share | Red-zone chances | Fantasy points (PPR) | Expected pointsEst. | Points vs expectedEst. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LA | 14 | 47% | 65 | 1 | 3% | 0 | 8.0 | 8.4 | −0.4 |
| 2 | MIA | 7 | 26% | 25 | 0 | 0% | 2 | 2.5 | 3.7 | −1.2 |
| 3 | ARI | 4 | 17% | 17 | 1 | 4% | 2 | 1.7 | 3.9 | −2.2 |
| 4 | DEN | 6 | 17% | 13 | 0 | 0% | 3 | 1.3 | 3.3 | −2.0 |
| 5 | SEA | 6 | 25% | 16 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 1.6 | 3.0 | −1.4 |
| 6 | WAS | 8 | 28% | 34 | 1 | 3% | 2 | 4.7 | 5.6 | −0.9 |
| 7 | ATL | 12 | 52% | 63 | 3 | 8% | 3 | 10.9 | 17.3 | −4.4 |
| 9 | LV | 11 | 26% | 70 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 7.0 | 5.5 | +1.5 |
49ers teammates
Compare with
Running backs whose expected points per game Est. are closest to his. See their usage side by side.