Rushing EPA per carry
+0.01
58 carries with EPA · nflverse
Mean expected points added on non-kneel, non-scramble rushing attempts with recorded EPA.
Running back · Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Kenny Gainwell gets about 2 of every 10 Buccaneers runs (21%) and has had 21 passes thrown to him. He's had 10 chances within 20 yards of the end zone and is scoring 7.1 fantasy points a game (PPR).
2026 season · Weeks 1–9 · Report built
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Historical game data. Injury designations apply only to their stated report week; confirm current availability before setting a lineup.
Carry share
21%
about 2 of every 10 runs
Carries
63
Target share
9%
about 1 of every 10 passes
Targets
21
Red-zone chances
10
Goal-line runs
1
Expected points per gameEst.
7.5
Fantasy points per game (PPR)
7.1
Official rushing and receiving touchdowns: 1. The model estimates 1.9 touchdowns Est. from recorded targets and carries. Lateral scores can fall outside those model opportunities; return scores are excluded from this comparison.
+0.01
58 carries with EPA · nflverse
Mean expected points added on non-kneel, non-scramble rushing attempts with recorded EPA.
46.6%
27 of 58 carries with EPA · nflverse
Share of non-kneel, non-scramble carries with EPA above zero, among carries with recorded EPA.
15.5%
9 of 58 carries with yards · nflverse
Share of non-kneel, non-scramble carries gaining at least 10 yards, among carries with recorded yards.
13.8%
8 of 58 carries with yards · nflverse
Share of non-kneel, non-scramble carries gaining zero or fewer yards, among carries with recorded yards.
0
58 carries with field position · nflverse
Non-kneel, non-scramble carries starting at the opponent's five-yard line or closer.
−2.4 yds
18 targets with air yards · nflverse
Mean air yards on targeted passes with recorded air yards, including incomplete and intercepted passes.
0.0%
0 of 18 targets with air yards · nflverse
Share of targets at least 20 air yards downfield, among targets with recorded air yards.
5.6%
1 of 18 targets with depth and field position · nflverse
Share of targets reaching the goal line or beyond, among targets with recorded air yards and field position.
66.7%
12 of 18 targets with completion result · nflverse
Completed targeted passes divided by targets with a recorded completion result; not adjusted for target difficulty.
83.3%
15 of 18 targets with catchability charted · FTN Data via nflverse
Share of a receiver's joined charted targets marked catchable, among targets with a known catchability flag.
13.3%
2 of 15 catchable targets with drop charted · FTN Data via nflverse
Drops divided by joined charted targets marked catchable with a known drop flag; unknown charting is excluded.
0.0%
0 of 4 targets with progression read charted · FTN Data via nflverse
Share of a receiver's targets marked primary read (code 0) among known progression reads 0, 1 and 2. Checkdowns, designed targets and scramble drills are excluded; this is not team target share.
Updated Nov 9, 2026. Completed regular-season weeks only; samples can differ by metric.
Play-by-play: Weeks 1–8, 121 games. Games through Nov 2, 2026.
FTN charting: Weeks 1–8, 121 games (partial coverage). Charting pulled Nov 4, 2026. Excluded catchability/drop values on 16 contradictory charted plays. Other known charting remains available.
nflverse; calculations by Fantasy Football Outsiders (CC-BY-4.0).
| Week | Opponent | Carries | Carry share | Rushing yards | Targets | Target share | Red-zone chances | Fantasy points (PPR) | Expected pointsEst. | Points vs expectedEst. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CIN | 5 | 25% | 15 | 1 | 4% | 0 | 2.8 | 3.9 | −1.1 |
| 2 | CLE | 2 | 8% | 10 | 4 | 12% | 2 | 4.5 | 7.0 | −2.5 |
| 3 | MIN | 3 | 14% | −4 | 5 | 14% | 1 | 3.0 | 10.7 | −7.7 |
| 4 | GB | 3 | 10% | 5 | 2 | 8% | 1 | 10.7 | 5.7 | +5.0 |
| 5 | DAL | 4 | 10% | 18 | 4 | 16% | 0 | 5.8 | 7.5 | −1.7 |
| 6 | PIT | 2 | 8% | 17 | 1 | 2% | 1 | 3.4 | 2.5 | +0.9 |
| 7 | CAR | 14 | 29% | 88 | 0 | 0% | 1 | 8.8 | 7.0 | +1.8 |
| 8 | ATL | 25 | 45% | 140 | 1 | 33% | 0 | 14.0 | 13.7 | +0.3 |
| 9 | CHI | 5 | 18% | 16 | 3 | 10% | 4 | 10.6 | 9.2 | +1.4 |
Running backs whose expected points per game Est. are closest to his. See their usage side by side.