Rushing EPA per carry
−0.19
110 carries with EPA · nflverse
Mean expected points added on non-kneel, non-scramble rushing attempts with recorded EPA.
Running back · Minnesota Vikings
Aaron Jones gets about 6 of every 10 Vikings runs (55%) and has had 21 passes thrown to him. He's had 15 chances within 20 yards of the end zone and is scoring 11.4 fantasy points a game (PPR).
2026 season · Weeks 1–9 · Report built
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Historical game data. Injury designations apply only to their stated report week; confirm current availability before setting a lineup.
Carry share
55%
about 6 of every 10 runs
Carries
110
Target share
12%
about 1 of every 10 passes
Targets
21
Red-zone chances
15
Goal-line runs
1
Expected points per gameEst.
12.5
Fantasy points per game (PPR)
11.4
Official rushing and receiving touchdowns: 2. The model estimates 1.7 touchdowns Est. from recorded targets and carries. Lateral scores can fall outside those model opportunities; return scores are excluded from this comparison.
−0.19
110 carries with EPA · nflverse
Mean expected points added on non-kneel, non-scramble rushing attempts with recorded EPA.
35.5%
39 of 110 carries with EPA · nflverse
Share of non-kneel, non-scramble carries with EPA above zero, among carries with recorded EPA.
8.2%
9 of 110 carries with yards · nflverse
Share of non-kneel, non-scramble carries gaining at least 10 yards, among carries with recorded yards.
16.4%
18 of 110 carries with yards · nflverse
Share of non-kneel, non-scramble carries gaining zero or fewer yards, among carries with recorded yards.
1
110 carries with field position · nflverse
Non-kneel, non-scramble carries starting at the opponent's five-yard line or closer.
−0.3 yds
21 targets with air yards · nflverse
Mean air yards on targeted passes with recorded air yards, including incomplete and intercepted passes.
0.0%
0 of 21 targets with air yards · nflverse
Share of targets at least 20 air yards downfield, among targets with recorded air yards.
0.0%
0 of 21 targets with depth and field position · nflverse
Share of targets reaching the goal line or beyond, among targets with recorded air yards and field position.
71.4%
15 of 21 targets with completion result · nflverse
Completed targeted passes divided by targets with a recorded completion result; not adjusted for target difficulty.
90.5%
19 of 21 targets with catchability charted · FTN Data via nflverse
Share of a receiver's joined charted targets marked catchable, among targets with a known catchability flag.
10.5%
2 of 19 catchable targets with drop charted · FTN Data via nflverse
Drops divided by joined charted targets marked catchable with a known drop flag; unknown charting is excluded.
0.0%
0 of 4 targets with progression read charted · FTN Data via nflverse
Share of a receiver's targets marked primary read (code 0) among known progression reads 0, 1 and 2. Checkdowns, designed targets and scramble drills are excluded; this is not team target share.
Updated Nov 9, 2026. Completed regular-season weeks only; samples can differ by metric.
Play-by-play: Weeks 1–8, 121 games. Games through Nov 2, 2026.
FTN charting: Weeks 1–8, 121 games (partial coverage). Charting pulled Nov 4, 2026. Excluded catchability/drop values on 16 contradictory charted plays. Other known charting remains available.
nflverse; calculations by Fantasy Football Outsiders (CC-BY-4.0).
| Week | Opponent | Carries | Carry share | Rushing yards | Targets | Target share | Red-zone chances | Fantasy points (PPR) | Expected pointsEst. | Points vs expectedEst. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GB | 12 | 35% | 40 | 1 | 4% | 4 | 10.0 | 9.0 | +1.0 |
| 2 | CHI | 23 | 82% | 105 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 10.5 | 11.4 | −0.9 |
| 3 | TB | 17 | 74% | 58 | 6 | 24% | 0 | 14.2 | 16.7 | −2.5 |
| 4 | MIA | 20 | 65% | 94 | 8 | 24% | 4 | 16.8 | 21.6 | −4.8 |
| 5 | NO | 25 | 69% | 113 | 3 | 10% | 5 | 18.7 | 17.9 | +2.8 |
| 7 | IND | 8 | 28% | 26 | 1 | 4% | 1 | 3.6 | 5.6 | −2.0 |
| 8 | DET | 5 | 28% | 22 | 2 | 7% | 1 | 6.0 | 5.5 | +0.5 |
Running backs whose expected points per game Est. are closest to his. See their usage side by side.