Rushing EPA per carry
−0.19
94 carries with EPA · nflverse
Mean expected points added on non-kneel, non-scramble rushing attempts with recorded EPA.
Running back · Denver Broncos
J.K. Dobbins gets about 4 of every 10 Broncos runs (44%) and has had 10 passes thrown to him. He's had 15 chances within 20 yards of the end zone and is scoring 6.9 fantasy points a game (PPR).
2026 season · Weeks 1–9 · Report built
Showing the saved fallback report. The latest report could not be confirmed; use the coverage and build date shown here.
Historical game data. Injury designations apply only to their stated report week; confirm current availability before setting a lineup.
Carry share
44%
about 4 of every 10 runs
Carries
98
Target share
4%
fewer than 1 in 10 passes
Targets
10
Red-zone chances
15
Goal-line runs
8
Expected points per gameEst.
9.0
Fantasy points per game (PPR)
6.9
Official rushing and receiving touchdowns: 3. The model estimates 4.4 touchdowns Est. from recorded targets and carries. Lateral scores can fall outside those model opportunities; return scores are excluded from this comparison.
−0.19
94 carries with EPA · nflverse
Mean expected points added on non-kneel, non-scramble rushing attempts with recorded EPA.
28.7%
27 of 94 carries with EPA · nflverse
Share of non-kneel, non-scramble carries with EPA above zero, among carries with recorded EPA.
5.3%
5 of 94 carries with yards · nflverse
Share of non-kneel, non-scramble carries gaining at least 10 yards, among carries with recorded yards.
18.1%
17 of 94 carries with yards · nflverse
Share of non-kneel, non-scramble carries gaining zero or fewer yards, among carries with recorded yards.
8
94 carries with field position · nflverse
Non-kneel, non-scramble carries starting at the opponent's five-yard line or closer.
−1.1 yds
9 targets with air yards · nflverse
Mean air yards on targeted passes with recorded air yards, including incomplete and intercepted passes.
0.0%
0 of 9 targets with air yards · nflverse
Share of targets at least 20 air yards downfield, among targets with recorded air yards.
0.0%
0 of 9 targets with depth and field position · nflverse
Share of targets reaching the goal line or beyond, among targets with recorded air yards and field position.
88.9%
8 of 9 targets with completion result · nflverse
Completed targeted passes divided by targets with a recorded completion result; not adjusted for target difficulty.
88.9%
8 of 9 targets with catchability charted · FTN Data via nflverse
Share of a receiver's joined charted targets marked catchable, among targets with a known catchability flag.
0.0%
0 of 8 catchable targets with drop charted · FTN Data via nflverse
Drops divided by joined charted targets marked catchable with a known drop flag; unknown charting is excluded.
0.0%
0 of 2 targets with progression read charted · FTN Data via nflverse
Share of a receiver's targets marked primary read (code 0) among known progression reads 0, 1 and 2. Checkdowns, designed targets and scramble drills are excluded; this is not team target share.
Updated Nov 9, 2026. Completed regular-season weeks only; samples can differ by metric.
Play-by-play: Weeks 1–8, 121 games. Games through Nov 2, 2026.
FTN charting: Weeks 1–8, 121 games (partial coverage). Charting pulled Nov 4, 2026. Excluded catchability/drop values on 16 contradictory charted plays. Other known charting remains available.
nflverse; calculations by Fantasy Football Outsiders (CC-BY-4.0).
| Week | Opponent | Carries | Carry share | Rushing yards | Targets | Target share | Red-zone chances | Fantasy points (PPR) | Expected pointsEst. | Points vs expectedEst. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KC | 8 | 53% | 36 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 3.6 | 3.9 | −0.3 |
| 2 | JAX | 10 | 36% | 36 | 0 | 0% | 3 | 3.6 | 13.5 | −9.9 |
| 3 | LA | 17 | 68% | 49 | 2 | 6% | 3 | 6.3 | 13.0 | −6.7 |
| 4 | SF | 11 | 50% | 40 | 2 | 5% | 0 | 7.2 | 8.3 | −1.1 |
| 5 | LAC | 18 | 62% | 68 | 2 | 9% | 5 | 15.4 | 15.9 | −0.5 |
| 6 | SEA | 17 | 61% | 41 | 3 | 13% | 1 | 13.6 | 13.6 | 0.0 |
| 7 | ARI | 6 | 23% | 23 | 0 | 0% | 1 | 8.3 | 5.9 | +2.4 |
| 8 | KC | 7 | 30% | 13 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 1.3 | 3.4 | −2.1 |
| 9 | CAR | 4 | 15% | 18 | 1 | 3% | 2 | 3.2 | 3.7 | −0.5 |
Running backs whose expected points per game Est. are closest to his. See their usage side by side.