Rushing EPA per carry
0.00
37 carries with EPA · nflverse
Mean expected points added on non-kneel, non-scramble rushing attempts with recorded EPA.
Running back · Indianapolis Colts · Rookie
Seth McGowan gets about 2 of every 10 Colts runs (17%) and has had 6 passes thrown to him. He's had 6 chances within 20 yards of the end zone and is scoring 3.6 fantasy points a game (PPR).
2026 season · Weeks 1–9 · Report built
Showing the saved fallback report. The latest report could not be confirmed; use the coverage and build date shown here.
Historical game data. Injury designations apply only to their stated report week; confirm current availability before setting a lineup.
Carry share
17%
about 2 of every 10 runs
Carries
43
Target share
2%
fewer than 1 in 10 passes
Targets
6
Red-zone chances
6
Goal-line runs
1
Expected points per gameEst.
3.7
Fantasy points per game (PPR)
3.6
Official rushing and receiving touchdowns: 1. The model estimates 1.1 touchdowns Est. from recorded targets and carries. Lateral scores can fall outside those model opportunities; return scores are excluded from this comparison.
0.00
37 carries with EPA · nflverse
Mean expected points added on non-kneel, non-scramble rushing attempts with recorded EPA.
37.8%
14 of 37 carries with EPA · nflverse
Share of non-kneel, non-scramble carries with EPA above zero, among carries with recorded EPA.
13.5%
5 of 37 carries with yards · nflverse
Share of non-kneel, non-scramble carries gaining at least 10 yards, among carries with recorded yards.
21.6%
8 of 37 carries with yards · nflverse
Share of non-kneel, non-scramble carries gaining zero or fewer yards, among carries with recorded yards.
0
37 carries with field position · nflverse
Non-kneel, non-scramble carries starting at the opponent's five-yard line or closer.
0.6 yds
5 targets with air yards · nflverse
Mean air yards on targeted passes with recorded air yards, including incomplete and intercepted passes.
0.0%
0 of 5 targets with air yards · nflverse
Share of targets at least 20 air yards downfield, among targets with recorded air yards.
0.0%
0 of 5 targets with depth and field position · nflverse
Share of targets reaching the goal line or beyond, among targets with recorded air yards and field position.
80.0%
4 of 5 targets with completion result · nflverse
Completed targeted passes divided by targets with a recorded completion result; not adjusted for target difficulty.
100.0%
4 of 4 targets with catchability charted · FTN Data via nflverse
Share of a receiver's joined charted targets marked catchable, among targets with a known catchability flag.
0.0%
0 of 4 catchable targets with drop charted · FTN Data via nflverse
Drops divided by joined charted targets marked catchable with a known drop flag; unknown charting is excluded.
0.0%
0 of 1 targets with progression read charted · FTN Data via nflverse
Share of a receiver's targets marked primary read (code 0) among known progression reads 0, 1 and 2. Checkdowns, designed targets and scramble drills are excluded; this is not team target share.
Updated Nov 9, 2026. Completed regular-season weeks only; samples can differ by metric.
Play-by-play: Weeks 1–8, 121 games. Games through Nov 2, 2026.
FTN charting: Weeks 1–8, 121 games (partial coverage). Charting pulled Nov 4, 2026. Excluded catchability/drop values on 16 contradictory charted plays. Other known charting remains available.
nflverse; calculations by Fantasy Football Outsiders (CC-BY-4.0).
| Week | Opponent | Carries | Carry share | Rushing yards | Targets | Target share | Red-zone chances | Fantasy points (PPR) | Expected pointsEst. | Points vs expectedEst. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BAL | 0 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 3% | 0 | 1.0 | 1.4 | −0.4 |
| 2 | KC | 2 | 6% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | −1.0 |
| 3 | HOU | 4 | 13% | 14 | 0 | 0% | 1 | 1.4 | 2.5 | −1.1 |
| 4 | WAS | 6 | 20% | 31 | 2 | 7% | 2 | 4.8 | 6.4 | −1.6 |
| 5 | PIT | 5 | 21% | 16 | 1 | 2% | 0 | 2.9 | 3.9 | −1.0 |
| 6 | TEN | 4 | 13% | 27 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 2.7 | 2.0 | +0.7 |
| 7 | MIN | 11 | 33% | 46 | 1 | 5% | 1 | 5.8 | 7.0 | −1.2 |
| 8 | JAX | 5 | 19% | 29 | 0 | 0% | 1 | 2.9 | 2.6 | +0.3 |
| 9 | DAL | 6 | 26% | 45 | 1 | 3% | 1 | 11.2 | 6.7 | +4.5 |
Running backs whose expected points per game Est. are closest to his. See their usage side by side.