Rushing EPA per carry
−0.14
41 carries with EPA · nflverse
Mean expected points added on non-kneel, non-scramble rushing attempts with recorded EPA.
Running back · New Orleans Saints
Alvin Kamara gets about 3 of every 10 Saints runs (26%) and has had 31 passes thrown to him. He's had 10 chances within 20 yards of the end zone and is scoring 10.5 fantasy points a game (PPR).
2026 season · Weeks 1–9 · Report built
Showing the saved fallback report. The latest report could not be confirmed; use the coverage and build date shown here.
Historical game data. Injury designations apply only to their stated report week; confirm current availability before setting a lineup.
Carry share
26%
about 3 of every 10 runs
Carries
47
Target share
13%
about 1 of every 10 passes
Targets
31
Red-zone chances
10
Goal-line runs
2
Expected points per gameEst.
10.4
Fantasy points per game (PPR)
10.5
Official rushing and receiving touchdowns: 3. The model estimates 1.6 touchdowns Est. from recorded targets and carries. Lateral scores can fall outside those model opportunities; return scores are excluded from this comparison.
−0.14
41 carries with EPA · nflverse
Mean expected points added on non-kneel, non-scramble rushing attempts with recorded EPA.
26.8%
11 of 41 carries with EPA · nflverse
Share of non-kneel, non-scramble carries with EPA above zero, among carries with recorded EPA.
7.3%
3 of 41 carries with yards · nflverse
Share of non-kneel, non-scramble carries gaining at least 10 yards, among carries with recorded yards.
19.5%
8 of 41 carries with yards · nflverse
Share of non-kneel, non-scramble carries gaining zero or fewer yards, among carries with recorded yards.
2
41 carries with field position · nflverse
Non-kneel, non-scramble carries starting at the opponent's five-yard line or closer.
0.4 yds
27 targets with air yards · nflverse
Mean air yards on targeted passes with recorded air yards, including incomplete and intercepted passes.
3.7%
1 of 27 targets with air yards · nflverse
Share of targets at least 20 air yards downfield, among targets with recorded air yards.
0.0%
0 of 27 targets with depth and field position · nflverse
Share of targets reaching the goal line or beyond, among targets with recorded air yards and field position.
81.5%
22 of 27 targets with completion result · nflverse
Completed targeted passes divided by targets with a recorded completion result; not adjusted for target difficulty.
85.2%
23 of 27 targets with catchability charted · FTN Data via nflverse
Share of a receiver's joined charted targets marked catchable, among targets with a known catchability flag.
4.3%
1 of 23 catchable targets with drop charted · FTN Data via nflverse
Drops divided by joined charted targets marked catchable with a known drop flag; unknown charting is excluded.
0.0%
0 of 8 targets with progression read charted · FTN Data via nflverse
Share of a receiver's targets marked primary read (code 0) among known progression reads 0, 1 and 2. Checkdowns, designed targets and scramble drills are excluded; this is not team target share.
Updated Nov 9, 2026. Completed regular-season weeks only; samples can differ by metric.
Play-by-play: Weeks 1–8, 121 games. Games through Nov 2, 2026.
FTN charting: Weeks 1–8, 121 games (partial coverage). Charting pulled Nov 4, 2026. Excluded catchability/drop values on 16 contradictory charted plays. Other known charting remains available.
nflverse; calculations by Fantasy Football Outsiders (CC-BY-4.0).
| Week | Opponent | Carries | Carry share | Rushing yards | Targets | Target share | Red-zone chances | Fantasy points (PPR) | Expected pointsEst. | Points vs expectedEst. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | BAL | 9 | 33% | 15 | 6 | 19% | 2 | 7.2 | 13.1 | −5.9 |
| 3 | LV | 9 | 32% | 36 | 1 | 3% | 1 | 5.1 | 5.9 | −0.8 |
| 4 | ATL | 7 | 37% | 23 | 7 | 15% | 3 | 22.8 | 17.1 | +5.7 |
| 5 | MIN | 3 | 18% | 12 | 2 | 8% | 0 | 2.6 | 4.2 | −1.6 |
| 6 | NYG | 7 | 18% | 34 | 4 | 13% | 0 | 14.9 | 9.5 | +5.4 |
| 7 | PIT | 6 | 35% | 5 | 7 | 18% | 3 | 13.2 | 13.2 | 0.0 |
| 9 | CLE | 6 | 19% | 32 | 4 | 13% | 1 | 7.9 | 9.5 | −1.6 |
Running backs whose expected points per game Est. are closest to his. See their usage side by side.